Tennis · resolved market
Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe38ec035636f115c6e87b169e00d1d03f1a08444c29d7aec273ef6dbd8c7e6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 54c | 12,550$6,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,770.9 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 8,792$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,835.71 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 46c | 8,575$3,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,630.67 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Over | 53c | 2,851$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 1,856$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.75 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e47…3348backed Over | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Over | 55c | 1,333$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.33 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 46c | 964.19$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.66 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Over | 55c | 918.18$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…52b2backed Under | 46c | 870$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Over | 54c | 808.56$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -5.4wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 53c | 756$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.54 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 681.9$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.22 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 46c | 483.89$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.68 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 446.42$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Under | 48c | 413.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 46c | 407.41$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 46c | 327$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 54c | 324.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Over | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 300.96$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.52 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Over | 55c | 280$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 46c | 254.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 232.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Over | 54c | 185.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over | 54c | 165.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 46c | 143$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…8b29backed Over | 13c | 126$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 46c | 115.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 45c | 99.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb67…4803backed Over | 54c | 93.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ab90backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 46c | 92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394d…d033backed Over | 55c | 86.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 55c | 71.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 46c | 69.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Under | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Over | 55c | 55.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…abc9backed Over | 53c | 52.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…c715backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…e8b8backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 44.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 45c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked Over | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…427abacked Under | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…182abacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…4fc0backed Over | 54c | 27.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Over | 54c | 24.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…823dbacked Over | 55c | 20.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Marta Kostyuk vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva won
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs AndreevaAndreeva won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.