Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Andreeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f2c4b3ead3eeb80b519ee9b568bba9d37b651ba4163e4e6fba488e26440fa6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Kostyuk, Andreeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Kostyuk | 21c | 1,269$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.57 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Kostyuk | 10c | 749.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 121 | 25.6%31 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Andreeva | 45c | 608.54$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.72 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Kostyuk | 55c | 537.15$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Andreeva | 49c | 400.76$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.54 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Kostyuk | 51c | 385.76$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.74 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Kostyuk | 54c | 330.68$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.09 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Andreeva | 45c | 300.82$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed Kostyuk | 55c | 234.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Andreeva | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Andreeva | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Andreeva | 69c | 170.6$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Andreeva | 70c | 139.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Kostyuk | 23c | 121.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Andreeva | 50c | 116.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Kostyuk | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Kostyuk | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Andreeva | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Andreeva | 45c | 52.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac6…9460backed Andreeva | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +66%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Andreeva | 45c | 51.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Kostyuk | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kostyuk | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Andreeva | 46c | 37.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andreeva | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Kostyuk | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Kostyuk | 55c | 27.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Kostyuk | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Andreevathis page
- Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Marta Kostyuk vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Andreeva (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.