South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcee76bdce50e7a997a8854d01ba3f47e81fffad6455b02dd332b5170b87c3a30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 20c | 16,955$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,629.61 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 13,259$10,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,173.05 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 6,783$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,703.29 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 3,045$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.5 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Yes | 46c | 1,782$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,725$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.04 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,693$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.62 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,018$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.85 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 16c | 627.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.88 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…dafdbacked Yes | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 9c | 583.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 19c | 512.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.47 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 72c | 491.61$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.21 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Yes | 8c | 449.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +551.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 16c | 376.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.41 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ab…76e2backed Yes | 15c | 320.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 49c | 310.29$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Yes | 17c | 303.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 14c | 296.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked Yes | 12c | 285.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.05 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 14c | 278.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.48 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 17c | 276.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.18 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 63c | 266.96$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 5c | 249.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…2d12backed Yes | 8c | 245.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.59 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 4c | 231.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 15c | 196.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.71 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 34c | 154.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 18c | 138.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Yes | 15c | 137.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 20c | 122.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes | 16c | 116.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…84d3backed Yes | 16c | 115.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 16c | 104.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed No | 80c | 102.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…bfaabacked Yes | 14c | 101.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 16c | 89.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Yes | 16c | 89.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 12c | 86.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 16c | 82.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 16c | 67.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 17c | 57.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Yes | 71c | 52.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8e…fc1dbacked No | 80c | 35.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will CF América vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CF América win on 2026-04-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.