South American Leagues · resolved market
CF América vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacf0420013bf527ccce194293372d592e37e6e6e022efdb982bb7e5d94d416dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 45c | 4,510$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.63 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 42c | 2,400$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.94 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 60c | 1,815$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.69 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 999.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.87 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 49c | 581.64$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 33c | 436.27$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 60c | 390.4$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.24 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 334.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 322.36$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 294.42$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked Over | 22c | 158.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 12c | 154.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Under | 78c | 127.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 76c | 103.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Over | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 53c | 86.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 53c | 78.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 31c | 77.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 75.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 42c | 72.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 33c | 71.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf293…ba11backed Over | 33c | 58.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Over | 31c | 54.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 64c | 51.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 29c | 51.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…86c0backed Over | 59c | 50.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 41c | 48.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 40c | 44.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 54c | 41.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 54c | 41.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…a698backed Over | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 59c | 32.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…726abacked Under | 76c | 26.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 25.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Under | 64c | 20.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…7095backed Under | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 68c | 18.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 80c | 12.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF América vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5this page
- CF América vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF América vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.