South American Leagues · resolved market
CF América vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb24bd86346113c55f9e9d95edab8cb496d137a8d2df51213725006620f9c7972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 1,620$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.25 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 32c | 1,538$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.99 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 696.61$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.37 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 32c | 644.87$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 55c | 591.88$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.34 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Over | 46c | 586.43$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.81 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked Over | 4c | 424.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 68c | 288.47$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 55c | 246$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 42c | 206.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Over | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 62c | 73.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 62c | 73.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 40c | 71.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 69c | 62.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 60.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Over | 48c | 60.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 50.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 53c | 43.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Over | 46c | 43.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 52c | 37.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 65c | 37.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…14b2backed Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 60c | 35.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 62c | 31.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 54c | 30.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 62c | 26.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 23.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 55c | 20.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 55c | 20.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Under | 65c | 18.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF América vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CF América vs. Atlas FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CF América vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF América vs. Atlas FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.