TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

La Bisbal: Aliona Bolsova vs Peyton Stearns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Aliona Bolsovaof Aliona Bolsova, Peyton Stearns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$543,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$550,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $543,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86fb…03d4backed Peyton Stearns3c85,234$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.0285348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Aliona Bolsova48c25,068$11,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,091.1827846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Peyton Stearns64c18,634$11,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,979.897,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Aliona Bolsova60c14,683$8,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,833.351,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Peyton Stearns46c10,589$4,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,831.9811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Aliona Bolsova45c8,979$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,928.186,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e5…905bbacked Aliona Bolsova58c8,434$4,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.451250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Peyton Stearns54c8,222$4,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,406.539,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3e…7d88backed Peyton Stearns37c7,796$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9048236.6%30 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Aliona Bolsova20c3,465$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,757.068,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Peyton Stearns47c3,079$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.12,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Peyton Stearns27c2,963$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009757.9%77 W · 898 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3298…b714backed Aliona Bolsova78c2,900$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Peyton Stearns80c2,860$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28862061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Aliona Bolsova33c2,851$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.994,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Aliona Bolsova48c2,650$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.4925257.9%146 W · 106 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd2d…0344backed Peyton Stearns59c2,552$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.459335.5%33 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Peyton Stearns42c2,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Peyton Stearns51c2,150$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.3454345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Peyton Stearns37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Aliona Bolsova64c1,910$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.0266139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Aliona Bolsova26c1,553$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.972129.7%214 W · 507 L-41.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Peyton Stearns61c1,427$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.033,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Aliona Bolsova14c1,409$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.353,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dbb…c0fdbacked Peyton Stearns65c1,300$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8399856.1%55 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Aliona Bolsova14c1,100$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.115436.4%56 W · 98 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x134f…2b5dbacked Peyton Stearns42c1,081$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45017044.1%75 W · 95 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Aliona Bolsova45c1,053$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.4513545.2%61 W · 74 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Peyton Stearns42c1,030$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.67444.6%33 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…3733backed Aliona Bolsova18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82012756.7%72 W · 55 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06b6…0004backed Aliona Bolsova43c937$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.093852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Aliona Bolsova34c925.28$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.8757447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Aliona Bolsova24c919.99$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.0830131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Aliona Bolsova14c776.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.2129028.3%82 W · 208 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f23…4761backed Aliona Bolsova3c766.67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.671533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+237.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8115…00e3backed Peyton Stearns52c714.93$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Peyton Stearns43c698.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30041060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Peyton Stearns61c696.3$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.9172132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Aliona Bolsova16c671.02$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.511,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Aliona Bolsova29c662.07$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.0743449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Aliona Bolsova16c629.26$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.441,25452.1%653 W · 601 L+45.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Aliona Bolsova60c624.68$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.754,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Aliona Bolsova14c592.82$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9542344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b9…3efebacked Peyton Stearns52c579.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006254.8%34 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Aliona Bolsova18c550$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45148214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Aliona Bolsova42c522.88$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.495,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0999…016ebacked Aliona Bolsova77c522.61$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.615860.3%35 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Peyton Stearns35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17531736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Aliona Bolsova48c470$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.461924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae8…c9a3backed Aliona Bolsova16c417.46$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.82630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Peyton Stearns74c405.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Aliona Bolsova60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16070752.8%373 W · 334 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Peyton Stearns30c399.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.338522.3%86 W · 299 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Peyton Stearns34c383$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.92,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…132ebacked Peyton Stearns34c349.04$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Aliona Bolsova58c343.05$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0864365.9%424 W · 219 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Aliona Bolsova12c330.38$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.2713033.8%44 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Peyton Stearns77c313.21$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.561,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Aliona Bolsova30c312.35$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.0148652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Peyton Stearns44c305.78$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.262,43350.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L+81.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f6…615bbacked Aliona Bolsova70c305$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.56845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Aliona Bolsova32c271.15$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.1984640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf677…0e56backed Peyton Stearns41c268.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.528550.2%143 W · 142 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Peyton Stearns64c267.27$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8185568.3%584 W · 271 L+24.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Peyton Stearns58c250.66$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.769057.2%395 W · 295 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Aliona Bolsova16c237.93$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5450644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf5…b17fbacked Peyton Stearns43c233.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+149%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f6…af63backed Aliona Bolsova16c215.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7118033.9%61 W · 119 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Aliona Bolsova15c173.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3432240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Peyton Stearns66c159.95$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.565,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Aliona Bolsova34c149.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6821949.3%108 W · 111 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Aliona Bolsova40c145.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.96,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Aliona Bolsova30c145.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0856817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Aliona Bolsova17c142.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.913,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Peyton Stearns51c137.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.714,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Aliona Bolsova13c129.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0914551%74 W · 71 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Peyton Stearns69c126.02$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.524,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Aliona Bolsova27c121.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.183823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Aliona Bolsova12c119.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.991,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Aliona Bolsova15c119.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7857052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Aliona Bolsova42c112.11$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.974,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Aliona Bolsova32c106.39$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3924945.4%113 W · 136 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Aliona Bolsova25c106.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.52,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Peyton Stearns72c103.23$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2334052.1%177 W · 163 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed Peyton Stearns66c103.03$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6811338.9%44 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Aliona Bolsova39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5645549.7%226 W · 229 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Peyton Stearns63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Aliona Bolsova74c90.79$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6112253.3%65 W · 57 L+14.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Aliona Bolsova44c84.73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.282,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc287…6d47backed Aliona Bolsova39c81.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3215332%49 W · 104 L-13.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Peyton Stearns42c72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2430844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Aliona Bolsova22c70.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9422550.2%113 W · 112 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Peyton Stearns58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82e…0c3bbacked Aliona Bolsova61c67.3$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Aliona Bolsova15c67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.951,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Peyton Stearns75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502740.7%11 W · 16 L-5.7wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6a95…3be6backed Aliona Bolsova56c66.13$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…3b6fbacked Aliona Bolsova28c65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.81782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+52%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Aliona Bolsova69c62.38$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.580051%408 W · 392 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…00bebacked Peyton Stearns80c61.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.743250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.