Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60b00e8f5c92a8f111de0142266f10475a1b84ce6b0ef55bcc0178450fa702f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 1c | 1,201$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 15c | 887.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 11c | 863.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 30c | 574.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.02 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed No | 79c | 544.17$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 19c | 426.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 78c | 349.13$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 12c | 339.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 15c | 332.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 308$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 28c | 301.15$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 8c | 283.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 28c | 279.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…ace6backed Yes | 31c | 262.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 74c | 255.87$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…ddf5backed Yes | 31c | 246.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…bc21backed Yes | 31c | 242.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 75c | 229.78$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 70c | 227.03$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 8c | 213$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 30c | 208.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 29c | 208.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 31c | 207.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 31c | 184.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 29c | 177.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…4134backed No | 70c | 169.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 27c | 165.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 72c | 162.57$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 18c | 160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…566ebacked Yes | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 72c | 148.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 146.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 14c | 145.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 68c | 143$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 140.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 12c | 137.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb385…3824backed Yes | 11c | 130.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 11c | 129.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 26c | 114.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 71c | 113.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 20c | 107.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 80c | 106.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 74c | 106.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 12c | 101.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 77c | 101.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…79aabacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…b97abacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 175 | 36.6%64 W · 111 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…7d0abacked Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 73c | 99.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 72c | 99.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 31c | 97.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 31c | 96.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 11c | 93.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 32c | 88.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…f0bbbacked Yes | 13c | 88.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +190.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Yes | 16c | 84.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 71c | 83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…27f6backed Yes | 29c | 82.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Yes | 32c | 78.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 24c | 74.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 74.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 16c | 72.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 69c | 71.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 31c | 70.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…a5a1backed Yes | 22c | 69.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e33…52e4backed No | 74c | 67.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…bad9backed No | 75c | 67.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 73c | 66.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 65.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 31c | 65.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 34c | 62.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…c30abacked No | 80c | 62.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes | 33c | 60.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 24c | 59.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 69c | 57.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…7f34backed No | 70c | 57.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…ba74backed Yes | 20c | 54.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…dbfabacked No | 71c | 51.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 100 | 81%81 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde01…a938backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7757…c48bbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…5645backed Yes | 31c | 48.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac3…1e02backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed No | 70c | 47.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Yes | 28c | 46.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed No | 70c | 44.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.