Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1193dd7ff24ec88c56a56220d8b436bf4d80b1770c997c653f257db7c1f6ad2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 54c | 1,808$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.63 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 31c | 1,737$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 46c | 1,557$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.81 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,060$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.86 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,033$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.94 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 67c | 991.63$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.66 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 57c | 679.14$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.22 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 21c | 629.62$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.88 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 73c | 503.71$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.32 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 418.3$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.03 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 20c | 367.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.32 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 65c | 348.88$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.11 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 333.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.61 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 41c | 330.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.35 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 64c | 328.31$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.59 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 10c | 326.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…8b39backed Yes | 18c | 313.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.69 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 50c | 303.38$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.02 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba7…418dbacked No | 61c | 302.6$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 30c | 262.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 28c | 255.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked No | 13c | 253.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…018bbacked Yes | 80c | 246.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 15c | 233.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.67 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 224$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 40c | 218.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 216$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.62 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 16c | 210.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 17c | 203.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 18c | 202.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.72 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 60c | 201.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 13c | 200.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.85 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 13c | 198.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.56 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 16c | 194.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 17c | 191.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 55c | 183.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 42c | 180.38$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed Yes | 16c | 167.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 32c | 162.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 79c | 162.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 73c | 159.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 57c | 148.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 29c | 148$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 11c | 140$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 78c | 126.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 14c | 125$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 26c | 124.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 120.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 65c | 111$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Yes | 53c | 109.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 19c | 109.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 11c | 106.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 100.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 75c | 100.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…79aabacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 15c | 92.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 58c | 88.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 14c | 85.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 16c | 83.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…3509backed Yes | 15c | 82.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed No | 49c | 79.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 61c | 76.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 20c | 76.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked Yes | 15c | 73.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 18c | 66.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 63c | 63.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 79c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf8…065ebacked Yes | 74c | 52.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa792…3ba1backed Yes | 71c | 50.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa1…f1e6backed Yes | 70c | 48.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 76c | 47.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 80c | 42.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Yes | 26c | 41.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad6…29f2backed Yes | 79c | 40.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 78c | 39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed Yes | 74c | 38.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 31c | 37.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 78c | 35.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a31…335fbacked No | 79c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 73c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…f0bbbacked Yes | 40c | 30.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +190.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…07c2backed Yes | 75c | 29.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +443.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 76c | 28.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…8c3ebacked Yes | 67c | 28.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 26.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 77c | 25.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…a336backed Yes | 74c | 24.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 75c | 21.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…7d0abacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…ca6fbacked Yes | 71c | 19.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.