TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdacf…3c74backed Yes76c851.67$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.112588%22 W · 3 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+36.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No41c669.79$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No57c312.59$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1917249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5017652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9855044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes49c145.24$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.81,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5376445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ac…6d71backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes61c79.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1948140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…93b4backed Yes42c55.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes27c51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.296142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17bf…6731backed Yes49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.58544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes76c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.821850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed No80c13.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118473.4%135 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.