Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x362c989436a022b69259c317a179e95bef8ef781677548f33652d6ea72ef80cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed No | 78c | 2,406$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 21c | 1,872$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.13 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 3c | 1,408$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb977…b5e2backed Yes | 26c | 705.38$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 28c | 641.88$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 18c | 594.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 21c | 583.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…7318backed Yes | 13c | 580$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 555.33$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8c…f5e2backed Yes | 45c | 524.39$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.26 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 31c | 451.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 21c | 448.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 17c | 371.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bd…25c9backed Yes | 25c | 351.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 79c | 349.48$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 9c | 330$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…5a2bbacked Yes | 10c | 327.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 63c | 317.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…dbe4backed Yes | 33c | 284.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e515backed No | 80c | 282.85$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 22c | 277.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked No | 78c | 272.07$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 271.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 70c | 216.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 79c | 214.46$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…9a02backed Yes | 26c | 212.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed No | 79c | 199.44$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 19c | 198.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…dfa5backed No | 73c | 189.47$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ba…cf4dbacked No | 65c | 179.55$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 25c | 177.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 69c | 165.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…16b5backed No | 75c | 156.88$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 151.12$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed No | 60c | 150.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.04 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…2080backed Yes | 19c | 150.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…64f4backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 10c | 149.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 14c | 149.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 27c | 147.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 29c | 143.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 69c | 133.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 65c | 132.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 130.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 127.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 21c | 127.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…5a45backed Yes | 26c | 115.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7e35backed Yes | 30c | 110.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 24c | 102.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 19c | 101.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 31c | 96.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 20c | 93.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 14c | 91.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…b21cbacked No | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…af19backed Yes | 21c | 89.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 70c | 88.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…f2d0backed Yes | 37c | 87.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 32c | 86.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe546…e186backed Yes | 27c | 83.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…1203backed No | 58c | 82.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…31a3backed Yes | 30c | 81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…4c3abacked No | 71c | 77.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 35c | 76.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 80c | 72.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 24c | 71.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 70.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…77a7backed Yes | 27c | 69.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 74c | 66.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 24c | 65.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…7d04backed Yes | 29c | 63.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…039fbacked Yes | 22c | 62.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 17c | 62.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe0…1b89backed Yes | 21c | 61.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 18c | 58.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 27c | 56.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked No | 79c | 55.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 72c | 54.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…1725backed Yes | 37c | 51.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…c01bbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a94…0a7bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…a97bbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 38c | 48.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 70c | 48.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 22c | 48.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 39c | 47.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…db8dbacked Yes | 26c | 47.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 22c | 46.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…2ddfbacked No | 80c | 46.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…5dcabacked Yes | 35c | 44.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 76c | 43.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 69c | 43.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 29c | 42.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 65c | 42.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 71c | 41.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed Yes | 28c | 41.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked Yes | 26c | 40.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.