Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24892e5a0cea7cac1e20b9ca30e645613f36d3dc9dae83675ed168eca4cc23a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb990…947cbacked No | 2c | 1,013$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 7cpaid | +318.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 71c | 835.54$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.9 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 24c | 574.88$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 15c | 572.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 48c | 536.35$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.59 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb977…b5e2backed Yes | 67c | 432.38$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 34c | 384.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.77 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 40c | 350.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 317.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 40c | 248.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…5fb7backed No | 53c | 220.02$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 47c | 215.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bd…25c9backed Yes | 48c | 208.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 41c | 199$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.57 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 43c | 198.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.44 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…9a02backed Yes | 59c | 196.42$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…63d3backed Yes | 53c | 183.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…ca17backed Yes | 39c | 183.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.04 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…d52dbacked No | 44c | 170.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c4…b153backed No | 32c | 169.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed No | 31c | 167.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 69c | 166.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…b696backed Yes | 67c | 162.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 63c | 161.03$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 60c | 150.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa061…2c51backed No | 53c | 148.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…0e27backed No | 58c | 146.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 49c | 145.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 46c | 143.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes | 67c | 141.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2493…8c5ebacked Yes | 57c | 134.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed Yes | 48c | 133.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 73c | 130.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 68c | 128.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe08a…fafebacked Yes | 60c | 128.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…af19backed Yes | 58c | 127.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 124.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 49c | 119.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 75c | 118.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba60…8d09backed Yes | 55c | 117.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 59c | 115.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…f2d0backed Yes | 51c | 113.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…4e48backed Yes | 46c | 102.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…4c3abacked No | 53c | 102.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…6e6dbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…246dbacked Yes | 47c | 99.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 46c | 99.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc06…0db6backed Yes | 55c | 98.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 49c | 98.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 61c | 96.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 47c | 96.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Yes | 55c | 96.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 52c | 95.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 53c | 95.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…bf47backed No | 54c | 92.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 40c | 87.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 56c | 85.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 59c | 84.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked No | 17c | 82.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…5b2abacked Yes | 69c | 78.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 63c | 76.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…8434backed Yes | 49c | 72.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 56c | 71.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2c…d68fbacked No | 54c | 70.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…7ddfbacked Yes | 55c | 69.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 54c | 65.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 49c | 65.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 60c | 65.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed Yes | 65c | 63.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 24c | 62.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 69 | 11.6%8 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 59.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…e572backed No | 53c | 59.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 35c | 58.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 42c | 58.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b56…724fbacked Yes | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…2ba9backed Yes | 45c | 56.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…3f6dbacked No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab14…e786backed Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7e35backed Yes | 48c | 53.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 49c | 51.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 56c | 50.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c7…0577backed Yes | 58c | 50.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…7bfbbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked Yes | 58c | 49.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 56c | 49.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 40c | 48.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2e…95f1backed Yes | 43c | 48.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 58c | 48.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 45c | 47.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked Yes | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 32c | 46.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 62c | 46.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 48c | 46.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 17?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.