World Politics · resolved market
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fcf23c85dfa27beb42badb8427921136b0b396d90bff69e8269652d5583cb1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 70c | 23,744$16,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,734.14 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…62c8backed Yes | 30c | 10,139$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,139.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 34c | 8,636$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.81 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 68c | 7,924$5,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,372.6 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 30c | 6,150$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293.57 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 36c | 5,935$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.77 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 27c | 5,190$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.3 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…3d88backed Yes | 14c | 4,365$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,743.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 31c | 3,422$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed No | 66c | 3,280$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.04 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 58c | 3,250$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.93 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…be21backed Yes | 21c | 3,000$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.5 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…a7f6backed Yes | 10c | 2,669$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 8c | 2,532$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.08 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,069$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.97 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 76c | 1,944$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.44 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 24c | 1,886$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.38 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9c…dd3dbacked No | 8c | 1,650$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…b3d3backed Yes | 16c | 1,554$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +204.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…cee0backed Yes | 8c | 1,543$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2e…0d48backed Yes | 11c | 1,510$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…2e4fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,504$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.99 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 78c | 1,365$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.46 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…5ab7backed Yes | 25c | 1,291$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.46 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 57c | 1,190$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 79c | 1,142$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.37 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 1,100$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.52 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…710bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,091$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23a…da20backed Yes | 27c | 1,075$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +240.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 1,040$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.76 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked Yes | 34c | 999.98$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 71c | 982$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.67 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…d6bfbacked Yes | 23c | 947.43$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 76c | 856.98$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.46 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 48c | 845.86$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.58 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 827.61$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.28 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 24c | 800$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 70c | 750$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.57 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 695.33$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.37 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 79c | 679.36$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.7 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 15c | 608.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.99 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…e937backed Yes | 42c | 606.73$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 572$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.56 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb389…8d11backed Yes | 14c | 564.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 28c | 539.07$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.15 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…b896backed Yes | 17c | 532.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…e006backed Yes | 37c | 517.54$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 11c | 515.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.24 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8075…1f74backed Yes | 35c | 506.55$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…2cf2backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.1 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 28c | 500$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 30cpaid | +23%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked No | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…7877backed Yes | 28c | 498.23$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6585…4b9cbacked Yes | 15c | 468.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e693backed No | 3c | 450$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +692.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 79c | 436.21$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.39 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 17c | 429.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.98 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdb…8a82backed Yes | 70c | 409.26$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…dad5backed Yes | 24c | 394.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…94d5backed Yes | 31c | 391.87$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 13c | 389.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.22 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 12c | 381.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.66 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 42c | 367.25$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.05 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 29c | 359.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.06 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 47c | 350.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.83 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dc…7b11backed Yes | 20c | 349.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed Yes | 28c | 336.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…730cbacked No | 63c | 331.52$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…340bbacked Yes | 15c | 330.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 30c | 329.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 36c | 322.76$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 14c | 287.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.65 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 15c | 283$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.35 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e6…c54fbacked Yes | 33c | 281.13$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 59c | 277.15$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.28 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…b7c8backed Yes | 12c | 273.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +274.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Yes | 40c | 260$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +105%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 240.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.74 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 65c | 232.2$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 13c | 231$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 220.85$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.48 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 14c | 204.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.02 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…d0e5backed Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 21c | 196.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…b9eebacked Yes | 32c | 193.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 190.48$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 54c | 189.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…da03backed Yes | 29c | 183.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +241%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab1…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 177.9$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc83e…ac22backed Yes | 79c | 173.15$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 25c | 166$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…eec2backed Yes | 10c | 165.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 58c | 163.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 23c | 163.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 12c | 157.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?this page
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?No won
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?No won
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?No won
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.