World Politics · resolved market
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dcce56c597101571d47ad67fe9bee8a6a8c2571bae122e80dba5a9d4b4cfa4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 7,722$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.44 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 7,345$5,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.71 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 42c | 5,316$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.98 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…3d88backed Yes | 35c | 4,263$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 51c | 4,123$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.21 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…9acebacked Yes | 48c | 4,000$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 33c | 3,790$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.33 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed No | 57c | 3,400$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 30cpaid | +23%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 2c | 3,174$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes | 44c | 2,555$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.89 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 66c | 2,476$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.48 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 41c | 2,007$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.82 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…710bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,752$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 58c | 1,650$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed No | 56c | 1,620$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.59 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,530$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.29 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 55c | 1,437$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.75 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 21c | 1,394$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.93 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 64c | 1,391$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.81 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209a…9a8dbacked No | 66c | 1,368$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,326$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,252$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.82 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 6c | 1,200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…5ab7backed Yes | 41c | 1,159$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 20c | 1,087$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 42c | 1,066$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.59 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed No | 61c | 1,054$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.1 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 1,041$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.97 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 35c | 1,008$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.55 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 33c | 999.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.24 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 995.4$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.6 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6585…4b9cbacked Yes | 3c | 947.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 67c | 930$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 57c | 924.97$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.41 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Yes | 42c | 902.77$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked No | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 873.62$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 55c | 856.98$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.37 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 71c | 840.32$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.97 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 41c | 833.73$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.41 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 51c | 816.97$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.22 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…7877backed Yes | 43c | 740.75$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 697.28$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.16 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc00b…d31bbacked Yes | 42c | 694.17$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 5c | 638.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…b896backed Yes | 40c | 579.2$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed Yes | 32c | 578.65$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…a7f6backed Yes | 29c | 575.95$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 59c | 574$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 52c | 542.5$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.68 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 66c | 490.33$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…ed47backed Yes | 34c | 484.2$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…cee0backed Yes | 28c | 483.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8075…1f74backed Yes | 43c | 466.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2e…0d48backed Yes | 31c | 454.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb60…71f5backed Yes | 55c | 450.5$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…e937backed Yes | 50c | 422.92$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.33 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 80c | 400.01$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a28…d58bbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a48…ec6ebacked Yes | 37c | 398.7$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9658…e446backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 30c | 350$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 68c | 349.67$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…e6f1backed Yes | 34c | 332.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 42c | 328.49$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 47c | 319.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…5f76backed Yes | 48c | 317.52$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 75c | 300.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…c279backed Yes | 34c | 299.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 67c | 299.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked No | 45c | 273.51$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…d69cbacked Yes | 44c | 273.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…dad5backed Yes | 55c | 265$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Yes | 36c | 263.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +105%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22dc…7b11backed Yes | 48c | 260.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 60c | 248$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe646…0be2backed Yes | 40c | 247.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 38c | 243$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 53c | 240.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed Yes | 49c | 240$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…e006backed Yes | 42c | 238.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde88…144cbacked Yes | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 35c | 231.71$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 46c | 228.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 68c | 227.9$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…a15fbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 52c | 210.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.69 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed Yes | 41c | 207.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 203.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…494bbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 27c | 199$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?this page
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Yes won
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?No won
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?No won
- Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.