TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Inner Circle Esports, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb29f…45b5backed Sharks71c15,034$10,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,386.143641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Sharks75c9,289$7,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.3563157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Sharks54c6,145$3,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.252,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle Esports26c6,049$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.672,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Sharks63c4,915$3,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.614,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Sharks58c4,597$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.993,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Inner Circle Esports52c4,000$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,081.0392456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Inner Circle Esports56c3,498$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.5117249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Sharks60c2,948$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.7937145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Inner Circle Esports16c2,318$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.343152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed Inner Circle Esports16c2,186$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.2122346.2%103 W · 120 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Inner Circle Esports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbfc…e387backed Inner Circle Esports30c1,678$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+63.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle Esports40c1,635$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.414,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Inner Circle Esports23c1,500$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.8529340.6%119 W · 174 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Inner Circle Esports31c1,298$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.4232346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Inner Circle Esports33c1,067$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.4794645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Inner Circle Esports16c1,020$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.12,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Sharks52c1,019$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.2118759.4%111 W · 76 L+15.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Sharks50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50085851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Inner Circle Esports15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Sharks67c989.99$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.721146%97 W · 114 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sharks58c983.14$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.712,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Inner Circle Esports28c856.32$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.563,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Sharks55c785.79$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.767372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Sharks55c752.83$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9575438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Inner Circle Esports54c750$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.628336.1%30 W · 53 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked Inner Circle Esports53c740.14$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39219935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle Esports26c730.56$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.733,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Sharks53c711.05$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.720358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0af3…8598backed Inner Circle Esports43c676.36$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28914749.7%73 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Inner Circle Esports26c627$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.625,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Inner Circle Esports51c592.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Inner Circle Esports30c586.64$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.963,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Inner Circle Esports52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26037557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Sharks46c500$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.761034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Inner Circle Esports47c480$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.61,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Inner Circle Esports18c477.38$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.931,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Inner Circle Esports43c473.14$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1811443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Inner Circle Esports10c462$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.866944.9%31 W · 38 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Sharks68c435.16$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6543544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Inner Circle Esports47c399.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19015449.4%76 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Inner Circle Esports34c391.96$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4920242.1%85 W · 117 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x180e…b3a6backed Inner Circle Esports49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19012535.2%44 W · 81 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle Esports24c375$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.252,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks74c366$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.957,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Sharks60c365.81$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.11,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Sharks55c360.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.391,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Inner Circle Esports29c355.68$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.362,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Inner Circle Esports30c350.04$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0152834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Sharks54c343.12$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.521,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c52…9eaebacked Inner Circle Esports14c333$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.628332.5%27 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Inner Circle Esports25c323.14$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.762,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xafc5…2b1dbacked Sharks57c311.22$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.828333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c5f…31d1backed Inner Circle Esports18c309.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.56820.6%14 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Sharks68c304.73$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4232832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed03…1caabacked Sharks47c300$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1587749.4%38 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ac…6d71backed Sharks65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked Inner Circle Esports50c299.22$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014544.8%65 W · 80 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Inner Circle Esports34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Sharks68c285.26$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3826546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Inner Circle Esports53c271.74$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9240148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Sharks52c263.52$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.793652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Inner Circle Esports25c258.02$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.372,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Inner Circle Esports17c253.85$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.97714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-67.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Sharks76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.22560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Inner Circle Esports47c245$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.158652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Sharks56c244.29$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5321755.8%121 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc315…a989backed Inner Circle Esports28c225.2$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6414322.4%32 W · 111 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Inner Circle Esports53c217.55$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11560953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Inner Circle Esports14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288143.2%35 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed Inner Circle Esports14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Sharks52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9641250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d6…423dbacked Inner Circle Esports14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02da…070dbacked Inner Circle Esports34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x685f…c586backed Sharks76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.377464.9%48 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeed…f629backed Sharks57c175.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.613148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle Esports34c171.93$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.634,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Sharks57c170.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.012,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebec…1b29backed Inner Circle Esports59c168.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ae…84d8backed Inner Circle Esports19c168$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1613219.7%26 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Inner Circle Esports59c164.4$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.154,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Inner Circle Esports45c162.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4457358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Inner Circle Esports47c155.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7477351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Inner Circle Esports43c152.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1991743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Sharks74c148$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7618753.5%100 W · 87 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Sharks53c144.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.053,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Inner Circle Esports41c128.11$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6358745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Inner Circle Esports40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.751,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Inner Circle Esports53c120.79$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7736749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Inner Circle Esports12c113$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.981,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Sharks74c111$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0345754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Sharks69c110.51$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8189046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sharks48c109$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.752,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Sharks33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6721952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19d0…d038backed Inner Circle Esports25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccb…6cb3backed Inner Circle Esports14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143540%14 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Inner Circle Esports25c90.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.669145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78d…e9f0backed Sharks56c89.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.463033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Sharks80c88.14$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6315069.3%104 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.