Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaabe818c01590538f10d88df1ca6cd7a645f42cad65c5b307cc045858092532b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 34c | 12,702$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.56 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 2c | 10,599$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.45 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 6,860$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.2 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 40c | 5,510$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 4,350$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.37 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 62c | 4,000$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.79 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 77c | 3,386$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.59 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 63c | 3,236$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.87 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 60c | 3,169$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.66 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 61c | 2,975$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.26 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 62c | 2,482$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 40c | 2,090$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.02 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…bbfebacked Yes | 61c | 2,082$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 46c | 2,014$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.08 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 1,283$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.02 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 1,243$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.52 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 38c | 1,200$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 37c | 1,200$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.97 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 38c | 1,166$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.95 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 40c | 1,137$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.8 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 38c | 899.99$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…7adfbacked No | 38c | 753.1$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb3…bf2ebacked Yes | 62c | 751.87$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +173%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes | 59c | 660.8$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.93 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked No | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 39c | 540.28$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.71 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 40c | 508.71$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.48 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 38c | 499.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 3c | 454.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 67c | 395.56$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 62cpaid | +49%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 62c | 391.94$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 40c | 353.06$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 18c | 316.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a78…1e03backed Yes | 62c | 315.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.84 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 39c | 300$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 60c | 298.36$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 77c | 296.45$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Yes | 62c | 266.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 60c | 257$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 13c | 218.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 40c | 218$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 35c | 200.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 78c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 18c | 198.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 62c | 182.18$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 55c | 173.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 62c | 170.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 59c | 168.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 38c | 162.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 38c | 155.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 45c | 155$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb0…51d5backed Yes | 61c | 146.69$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 19c | 144.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed No | 21c | 143.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a5…a18ebacked Yes | 62c | 140$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 130.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Yes | 62c | 123.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed No | 37c | 115.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Yes | 62c | 108.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 43c | 106$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8978…11b8backed Yes | 62c | 103.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e8…9e56backed Yes | 74c | 103.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…69c1backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…236cbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.