Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc79ddfd2e75cb8259d9841771658f1104d7d22c46665dc7874b222fc8e1ee416
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $458,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $458,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a4…7170backed No | 52c | 145,802$75,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,137.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 101,515$50,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,475.34 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 48c | 57,706$27,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,698.36 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 28,843$14,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,644.31 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 49c | 26,239$12,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,857.21 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 12,805$7,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,772.17 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 47c | 12,000$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,330 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…154dbacked Yes | 48c | 10,500$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…59febacked No | 51c | 10,249$5,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Yes | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 54c | 9,700$5,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.47 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 8,622$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.3 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 53c | 8,113$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Yes | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 48c | 6,996$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Yes | 49c | 5,996$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.91 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 51c | 5,646$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.42 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 49c | 5,510$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e0…3eabbacked Yes | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 43c | 5,040$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.94 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 52c | 4,022$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.71 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Yes | 51c | 3,983$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.67 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…f2d4backed No | 50c | 3,883$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 55c | 3,807$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 51c | 3,766$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.32 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 3,609$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.34 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 62c | 3,154$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.59 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 49c | 2,890$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.67 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 49c | 2,553$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.03 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Yes | 63c | 2,157$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 49c | 1,394$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.88 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 47c | 1,360$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 52c | 1,240$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 38c | 1,202$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.87 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 57c | 1,200$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.2 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,151$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.79 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 47c | 1,127$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 52c | 1,126$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.93 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 45c | 1,110$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.5 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.52 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 48c | 1,019$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 46c | 928.24$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.25 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 47c | 914$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.68 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 45c | 871.94$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.57 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 45c | 866.66$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.66 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 61c | 861.2$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.51 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 49c | 808.47$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.74 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 53c | 805.19$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.75 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 46c | 657$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.78 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 51c | 520.31$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.76 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 48c | 427.08$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.08 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5528…c098backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed No | 44c | 348.59$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 51c | 321$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.29 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…77afbacked Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Yes | 50c | 303.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…00ebbacked Yes | 60c | 301.15$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 44c | 301$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed No | 52c | 288.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked No | 51c | 276$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 51c | 262.67$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 47c | 255.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 46c | 254$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed No | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2751…d10bbacked Yes | 67c | 229.85$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…b1bebacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 52c | 217.22$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1b…c496backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…e97cbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will SC Freiburg vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.