TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,668 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes23c20,357$4,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,682.182759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No80c11,990$9,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.263,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes26c8,803$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.782040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c7,981$6,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.721,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No76c4,950$3,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.52290.9%20 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+29.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c4,477$3,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.2369851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No77c2,701$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.3656547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No77c2,488$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.31785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+56.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed No78c2,242$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked No77c2,030$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes12c1,973$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.3614315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Yes18c1,943$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.746726.9%18 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes25c1,939$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.89831.6%31 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c1,927$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.675142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes25c1,353$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.253141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No75c1,334$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.459476.6%72 W · 22 L+16.8wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+49.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c771.99$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.561,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No74c677.2$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2115064%96 W · 54 L+25.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+53.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x340d…1335backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4032…3578backed Yes23c580.69$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc7…10b9backed Yes23c529.59$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes23c525.2$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.819951.5%51 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes26c481.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1430054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes19c454.76$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.45433.3%18 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9231145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965623.2%13 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No76c343$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3216652.4%87 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes26c334$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.847129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes11c332.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363834.2%13 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7519446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455836.2%21 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No77c296$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0817251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x754f…ee9ebacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No76c213.92$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0535856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No74c200.85$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8718746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5415829.1%46 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524075%30 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.812774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No78c177$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.949549.5%47 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes14c166.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2326433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No74c162.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1637344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes23c154$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3634342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208517.6%15 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d43…fc99backed No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.143093.3%28 W · 2 L+7.8wins+0.26per pick67cpaid+42.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3312271.3%87 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47d1…7618backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511751.3%60 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No73c124.91$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7338748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c119$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9456951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x270d…a696backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa83d…3896backed Yes26c105$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc513…ffe7backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-57%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.333959%23 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes22c88.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.565232.7%17 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+67.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Yes24c88.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes23c85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.544749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No73c82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.146251.6%32 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No74c81.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.087268.1%49 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Yes26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.24524.4%11 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes21c72.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.515145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d77…bc86backed No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1633945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No76c62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6625855.4%143 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed Yes23c56.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ef…be5ebacked No75c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No74c53.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0521051.4%108 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8821450%107 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed No77c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.635664.3%36 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked No77c48.73$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.053158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes23c46.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.473234.4%11 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked No79c41.78$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9120153.7%108 W · 93 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64cc…bf54backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1257…c9b2backed No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes27c37.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.185038%19 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No74c33.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7722562.2%140 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed No75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed No74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No78c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7215160.9%92 W · 59 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x657e…9fa5backed No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6711563.5%73 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No76c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.048555.3%47 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No77c20.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.623857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No77c20.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.710262.7%64 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.79564.2%61 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41090%9 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick69cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No75c19.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.844655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa44…752abacked No74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.