Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05aecedb612c754abf0e04c4b13f67d461e875469c8f1cca4271d0d256ed2ff5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked No | 2c | 1,599$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed No | 16c | 1,331$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 29c | 1,081$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.23 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 57c | 644.49$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.51 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 75c | 594.04$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.07 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 68c | 513.83$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…20febacked Yes | 70c | 431.08$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 69c | 335.15$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 62c | 316.07$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 26c | 266.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca98…15b7backed Yes | 72c | 234.57$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 39c | 232.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 27c | 228.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 32c | 219.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…e4b0backed Yes | 74c | 194.49$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 74c | 188.65$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed No | 37c | 183.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf428…9365backed Yes | 71c | 181.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Yes | 77c | 177.74$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 15c | 174.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 40c | 153.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd8…2183backed No | 32c | 143.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…61abbacked Yes | 70c | 141.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…b520backed Yes | 74c | 134.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…a676backed Yes | 77c | 129.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 22c | 129.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…121ebacked Yes | 79c | 126.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 28c | 122.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…b7d3backed No | 17c | 120.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 120.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 19c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 35c | 117.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 25c | 115.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 21c | 107.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 40c | 106.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 23c | 104$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 68c | 100.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked No | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 28c | 95.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597b…9ea8backed No | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…8588backed Yes | 72c | 89.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 62c | 89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 35c | 86.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…4e6ebacked No | 40c | 83.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…f1c5backed Yes | 68c | 81.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 17c | 77.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 32c | 74.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked Yes | 69c | 72.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 26c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…bb75backed No | 28c | 71.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 68.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 35c | 67.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…712bbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…f7a9backed No | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 79c | 65.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Yes | 69c | 59.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x937b…fdb9backed No | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…7d44backed No | 50c | 57.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x615f…5f37backed No | 21c | 56.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked No | 24c | 53.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30b…4252backed Yes | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…0fb0backed No | 28c | 51.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 49c | 50.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 141 | 19.1%27 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 201 | 73.1%147 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…489dbacked No | 34c | 47.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5c…ef7fbacked No | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 123 | 65%80 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…411ebacked Yes | 67c | 46.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 67c | 45.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 28c | 45.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 34c | 45.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed No | 30c | 43.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…3546backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…c2eabacked No | 46c | 43.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a9…ad23backed Yes | 70c | 42.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…3316backed Yes | 73c | 41.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed Yes | 63c | 38.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a0…a0a6backed No | 43c | 38.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 36c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…f366backed No | 33c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd5…4df8backed Yes | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…f19ebacked No | 38c | 36.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…77d1backed No | 35c | 36.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3084backed Yes | 78c | 35.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 152 | 70.4%107 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…91cfbacked Yes | 70c | 35.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…05ebbacked Yes | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 57c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5616…61c1backed No | 34c | 33.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -87%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…453ebacked No | 32c | 31.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…0da0backed No | 34c | 30.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…86afbacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…6c35backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.