Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x102c4e0169f244a06d45873d12a7c56a7eb9332eb9aeda1360357ee7788751b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 1c | 1,535$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 73 | 13.7%10 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 1c | 1,338$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 3c | 731.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 6c | 719$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 3c | 656.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 71c | 606.54$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.28 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 32c | 605.12$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…4381backed Yes | 30c | 499.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 28c | 479.7$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.73 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 64c | 465.42$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.58 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 29c | 392.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 12c | 368.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.29 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Yes | 37c | 338.66$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 5c | 286.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.96 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 18c | 285.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.44 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 8c | 285.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.86 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 28c | 278.38$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.4 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 29c | 274.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.83 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Yes | 26c | 270.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 31c | 263.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.08 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 25c | 252.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 58c | 234.96$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 29c | 229.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.71 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 23c | 228.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 44c | 225.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 13c | 201.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.37 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 20c | 199.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.98 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…80e5backed No | 19c | 197.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 39c | 194.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 32c | 191.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 9c | 187.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…4e6ebacked Yes | 25c | 184.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.76 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 31c | 166.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 25c | 164$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…7d9bbacked No | 13c | 152.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed Yes | 30c | 150.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 12c | 147.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.44 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 21c | 142.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.11 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 12c | 142.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…3316backed Yes | 25c | 135.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 27c | 131.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 48c | 120.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 120.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 77c | 118.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 18c | 117.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c8…2e9abacked Yes | 25c | 98.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed Yes | 80c | 96.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 41c | 93.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 24c | 92.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 26c | 90.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed No | 70c | 84.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 70c | 76.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 25c | 70.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…f375backed Yes | 27c | 69.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 66.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 43c | 66.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 23c | 66.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 77c | 63.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 80c | 63.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf4…d969backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 75c | 61.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7082…3a10backed Yes | 25c | 59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 30c | 56.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…8eeebacked Yes | 68c | 55.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 30c | 55.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 36c | 54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 28c | 53.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8417…25c6backed Yes | 28c | 52.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 28c | 52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 39c | 51.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…44c3backed Yes | 38c | 49.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 73c | 42.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…cd3cbacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…9a31backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…bc8cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…7358backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…468bbacked No | 77c | 35.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 162 | 63%102 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…0408backed Yes | 31c | 33.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 76c | 33.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…87d1backed No | 73c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…1449backed Yes | 52c | 32.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 50c | 32.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b98…c0cebacked Yes | 31c | 31.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 71c | 30.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked No | 76c | 29.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 74c | 29.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.