Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeb904e66c4c949b28085b28db8a01f0db6cfca7ffb283cbd6dff203a5641da8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 26c | 838.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.01 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…4381backed Yes | 48c | 610.41$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.41 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 9c | 592.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 16c | 450.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 74c | 353.47$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked Yes | 77c | 337.84$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.29 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 16c | 308.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 41c | 306.16$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…80e5backed Yes | 28c | 289.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 15c | 275.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 69c | 265.18$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Yes | 32c | 254.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 34c | 243.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Yes | 30c | 232.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 46c | 232.68$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed No | 69c | 224.17$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 23c | 215.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 214$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 60c | 211.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 28c | 206.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 25c | 205.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 53c | 191.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…3316backed Yes | 37c | 184.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 11c | 181.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 63c | 172$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 30c | 164.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 73c | 162.37$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 71c | 145.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 67c | 142.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 29c | 141.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 14c | 141.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…6ca1backed Yes | 15c | 135.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 74c | 134.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 80c | 133.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 80c | 132$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 44c | 127.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…842cbacked Yes | 14c | 125.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 75c | 121.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 119.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 25c | 101.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 16c | 100.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…7c44backed Yes | 20c | 100.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 12c | 99.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 349 | 22.9%80 W · 269 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Yes | 78c | 97.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked Yes | 29c | 84.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 82.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb00…5461backed Yes | 28c | 77.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 70c | 73.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 21c | 72.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 51c | 67.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f8…d99bbacked Yes | 42c | 65.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 17c | 64.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…453ebacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 65c | 57.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 21c | 53.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 38c | 52.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…82f9backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 305 | 65.9%201 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…7358backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 41c | 48.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…7d9bbacked No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 35c | 46.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 57c | 41.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 79c | 40.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…4e6ebacked Yes | 34c | 39.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 32c | 39.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 33.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 68c | 33.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…1449backed Yes | 49c | 31.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 75c | 26.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 62c | 26.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995a…7deabacked Yes | 76c | 26.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed Yes | 49c | 25.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Yes | 51c | 25.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 67c | 25.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x681f…02d0backed Yes | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 230 | 60.9%140 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…e95bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 77c | 18.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.