TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yes6c25,229$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.694,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed No44c6,332$2,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.516435.9%23 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes27c2,454$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.7531655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes55c2,310$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.6135758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed No73c1,500$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.261070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes22c1,467$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.91,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No74c1,443$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.181,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes27c1,394$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.3820039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9077…45cebacked No73c1,300$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c1,013$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.266,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d33…d56abacked Yes27c900$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No71c750$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.529253.4%156 W · 136 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…62efbacked Yes2c750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed No74c693$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.184456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes30c480$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.825545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4129158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x404a…19f8backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes57c305.05$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes26c291.97$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked No75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5427752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a6…2833backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008854.5%48 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe49a…f498backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes26c148.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5217833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked Yes9c143.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.742462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No75c112.83$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.311,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Yes16c100.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6411142.3%47 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2856…f846backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No69c91.67$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4751542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yes44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.63935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes29c85.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes26c77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0254128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes43c76.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.69450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No67c74.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7522764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f6…8160backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55f5…c20ebacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes27c72.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No74c70.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.357744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…fcd6backed Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cdc…cfbbbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x505c…1604backed Yes24c50.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed No63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.54831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-42%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5263…52ccbacked Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes26c48.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.71,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes29c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131625%4 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.228736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2219…a5e9backed Yes27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cb…d4d1backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd2…b69abacked Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d97…9498backed Yes52c30.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e5…0659backed No74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No74c25.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.681,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefb2…b043backed No61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.153262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.482763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x186d…7197backed No74c18.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4540…4fb5backed No74c18.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.882080%16 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+41.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No72c14.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.115240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.