Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd12361da330237b3e8c99cf7a90885d89ceb7fb6d080aaccc0b77d49f86285b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 17c | 2,494$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.72 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 2,030$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 1,211$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.13 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 1,102$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.22 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 583.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.86 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 44c | 357.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 56c | 342.86$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes | 79c | 320$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Yes | 23c | 169.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 22c | 107.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 44c | 99.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 68c | 91.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 23c | 85.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 55c | 84.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 19c | 84.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 26c | 79.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 66c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 75.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 73c | 72.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 75c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Yes | 56c | 64.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 46.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed Yes | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 23c | 45.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Yes | 79c | 34.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637f…e492backed Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee92…7ec3backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…76bfbacked Yes | 73c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will IK Start vs. Tromsø IL end in a draw?Yes won
- Will IK Start win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.