Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf241735da12b22413d83adfd58a5b934c01ff1eaa902d078d4f801d44e2ddd3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 37c | 16,530$6,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,135.31 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 53c | 10,633$5,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,635.63 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 47c | 6,409$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.51 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 46c | 5,512$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.6 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 5,266$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.36 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 47c | 4,885$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.97 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 3,849$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.07 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 47c | 3,404$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.26 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 52c | 1,023$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.39 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 763.22$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.67 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 50c | 587.54$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.77 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…f80dbacked Yes | 57c | 538.6$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed No | 50c | 372$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 46c | 267.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 46c | 261.78$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.31 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 46c | 255.69$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.02 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 46c | 255.26$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.84 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 55c | 249.81$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.21 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 46c | 249.12$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 55c | 249.05$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 46c | 242.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 46c | 242.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.85 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…3914backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 227.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 46c | 217.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.37 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 216.12$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 51c | 202.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 51c | 196.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 54c | 187.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 50c | 169.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 50c | 169.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 137.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 115.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 46c | 99.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 44c | 96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 56c | 96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 89.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 44c | 78.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 77.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed No | 46c | 72.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 56c | 69.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 43c | 65.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 61.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 53c | 61.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 57.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…b33dbacked Yes | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 47c | 45.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 39c | 45.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 45c | 44.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede9…8504backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 53c | 36.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 34.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 57c | 31.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed No | 47c | 30.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Yes | 53c | 28.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…6c18backed Yes | 54c | 24.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 79c | 22.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…c469backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked No | 69c | 18.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…266ebacked No | 74c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-04-06?this page
- Will IK Start win on 2026-04-06?No won
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. IK Start end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.