Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. IK Start end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a1bbde5170a363e2e7c5fbcef556149e47e5b37b2236914a1567ff60bd8a7ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,373$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.7 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 481.95$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.75 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 48c | 319.94$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 189.42$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 160.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 63c | 125$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 78c | 104.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 86.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 85.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…3914backed No | 63c | 83.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede9…8504backed Yes | 60c | 75.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…b2b7backed Yes | 67c | 74.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…7447backed Yes | 47c | 63.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…732abacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 52.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 38.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 66c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 23.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…a9abbacked Yes | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked No | 77c | 18.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 73c | 16.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 78c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. IK Start end in a draw?this page
- Will IK Start win on 2026-04-06?No won
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.