UFC · resolved market
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x717ae2826cec0b3379674968b41762d7342cf91b9b75fb68d5466b1a6f87463e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Silvaof Allen, Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $860,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,018,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $860,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 631 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Allen | 34c | 103,626$34,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,892.43 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Allen | 47c | 35,143$16,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,354.18 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Silva | 67c | 31,017$20,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,247.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Allen | 35c | 30,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Silva | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.95 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Silva | 55c | 26,893$14,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,041.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Silva | 66c | 26,092$17,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,871.42 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Allen | 31c | 25,260$7,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,713.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Allen | 34c | 25,137$8,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,546.55 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Silva | 63c | 24,820$15,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,301.46 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Silva | 66c | 21,732$14,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,388.88 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Silva | 65c | 20,327$13,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,053.12 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Allen | 29c | 16,000$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.91 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…be06backed Silva | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Allen | 35c | 14,929$5,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,182.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Allen | 34c | 14,705$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.65 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Silva | 66c | 13,999$9,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,769.65 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Silva | 66c | 13,500$8,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Allen | 34c | 13,407$4,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.21 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Silva | 66c | 12,837$8,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,371.36 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Silva | 69c | 11,898$8,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,721.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed Silva | 66c | 11,358$7,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Allen | 34c | 11,145$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Allen | 35c | 10,031$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510.97 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Silva | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Allen | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Allen | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.96 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Allen | 35c | 9,800$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.98 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Silva | 69c | 8,888$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8256…3600backed Silva | 69c | 8,823$6,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Silva | 65c | 8,598$5,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.34 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Allen | 29c | 8,354$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.89 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Silva | 66c | 8,228$5,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.61 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Silva | 66c | 8,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.99 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Silva | 68c | 7,235$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.14 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Allen | 34c | 7,023$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.86 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Allen | 35c | 6,999$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.65 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Silva | 73c | 6,491$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.89 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Silva | 66c | 6,387$4,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.93 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Silva | 66c | 6,316$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.53 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…87debacked Silva | 66c | 6,061$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.71 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Allen | 33c | 6,051$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Allen | 30c | 5,816$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.24 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Silva | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Silva | 70c | 5,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.98 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6295…6abebacked Allen | 36c | 4,997$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Allen | 26c | 4,983$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Allen | 37c | 4,869$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.49 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Allen | 33c | 4,836$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.93 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Silva | 66c | 4,545$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Allen | 35c | 4,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Allen | 12c | 4,261$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.15 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Silva | 65c | 4,123$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf635…e876backed Silva | 66c | 3,788$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.88 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…50eabacked Allen | 30c | 3,668$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Allen | 35c | 3,466$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…c1efbacked Allen | 31c | 3,300$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Allen | 32c | 3,179$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.23 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Silva | 69c | 3,175$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb10…c547backed Silva | 66c | 3,169$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Silva | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Silva | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Allen | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d4cebacked Silva | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Silva | 67c | 2,980$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Allen | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Allen | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Allen | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Allen | 35c | 2,795$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.46 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Allen | 34c | 2,311$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.83 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Allen | 31c | 2,211$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.59 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Silva | 67c | 2,109$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.37 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Allen | 15c | 2,014$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Allen | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…e13abacked Silva | 76c | 2,000$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Allen | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Silva | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Silva | 67c | 1,822$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.39 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Silva | 66c | 1,820$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.78 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…e32cbacked Silva | 65c | 1,700$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Silva | 69c | 1,601$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Silva | 66c | 1,574$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.32 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Silva | 64c | 1,570$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Allen | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Silva | 68c | 1,549$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked Allen | 6c | 1,504$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Allen | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Allen | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Silva | 67c | 1,499$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Silva | 71c | 1,447$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Allen | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Silva | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Allen | 32c | 1,423$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.75 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Allen | 34c | 1,400$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Silva | 67c | 1,300$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.97 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Allen | 33c | 1,294$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.97 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Silva | 68c | 1,272$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.99 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Silva | 65c | 1,266$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Silva | 67c | 1,258$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Allen | 32c | 1,254$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.44 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Jean Silva win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.