TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64b5…7543backed Yes20c20,158$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,126.0411838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Yes50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed No40c11,111$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.276445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c9,446$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,757.334,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c8,609$3,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,565.436,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c6,120$4,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,877.022,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes53c4,490$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,105.42,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No79c3,910$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,088.6537054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No51c3,355$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.181,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No80c3,005$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.31,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes21c3,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,37011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No78c2,351$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.174862.5%30 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0602828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No19c1,612$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.422458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes22c1,591$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.9118123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed No43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6452548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes20c1,173$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.9824146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No79c1,143$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.4252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes80c1,117$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.230666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes21c1,116$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.611,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No79c1,112$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.095862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No79c1,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48f9…cd95backed No69c1,000$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685933.3%3 W · 6 L-4.0wins-0.44per pick77cpaid-56.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed No54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes22c802.2$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.678038.8%31 W · 49 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked No24c798.28$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked No38c694.2$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6111534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No76c653.12$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.559358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes24c630$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.823531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes21c606.1$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.8233753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2469843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No80c600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48018551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked No80c600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa550…836fbacked No2c598.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes21c578.8$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.0522229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49e5…ef0ebacked Yes49c499.78$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No58c490.09$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28324047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1911443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No68c442.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes50c426.11$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.119446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7abc…9ff7backed Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.67475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No80c400$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32039948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No52c374.19$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.589344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2f…2c89backed No49c370.88$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…68e1backed Yes37c364.21$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.193043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c354.62$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.891,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes20c350$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28051847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes22c300$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23420840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes23c300$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2318226.8%22 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15617748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes67c298.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.261,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked No51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No79c277$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.831,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No41c267.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5325530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked No57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.56857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No6c236.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1341344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012060%72 W · 48 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305263.5%33 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ea…6d0fbacked No52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+75.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Yes48c190$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed No79c189.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes64c184.51$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1253344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes22c181.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.825335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked No59c169.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014043.6%61 W · 79 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No34c165.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0116634.9%58 W · 108 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No70c152.54$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.921,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed No50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757635.5%27 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf828…fca3backed Yes22c140$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.21421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Yes21c140$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.63135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No49c139.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.899541.1%39 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca94…838fbacked Yes49c134.8$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.891729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No24c126.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2612245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed No80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010258.8%60 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Yes51c116.51$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.095955.9%33 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.642254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Yes53c106.85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.852556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Yes50c105$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.54557.8%26 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf730…8a0abacked Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb182…ab4abacked Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.173265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No71c104$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9725052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes21c102.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.15335.8%19 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9932…f309backed Yes51c102.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.06933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3902…43f8backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked No51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507129.6%21 W · 50 L-12.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014550.3%73 W · 72 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793938.5%15 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…811ebacked Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+116.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No55c99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1461143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes20c97.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.059637.5%36 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2437740.3%152 W · 225 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9136036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9123220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.