Tennis · resolved market
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x711f72aab58b248ef7b20f3d3da690552eb772cbd10856d025cc2cd3ab6d7c11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Molcanof Denis Shapovalov, Alex Molcan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $575,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $694,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $575,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc450…e677backed Alex Molcan | 45c | 61,112$27,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,618.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Denis Shapovalov | 30c | 50,664$15,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,326.85 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Denis Shapovalov | 28c | 24,242$6,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,791.61 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Alex Molcan | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.88 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Molcan | 66c | 14,517$9,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,893.55 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Molcan | 63c | 12,963$8,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,758.14 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…7994backed Denis Shapovalov | 35c | 10,870$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.93 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 53c | 10,862$5,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,805.44 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 9,908$5,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,591.95 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Alex Molcan | 44c | 8,805$3,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.94 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Denis Shapovalov | 9c | 8,349$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.51 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 7,266$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.43 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Denis Shapovalov | 45c | 5,050$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.35 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Denis Shapovalov | 59c | 4,996$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.39 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 4,960$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.99 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Denis Shapovalov | 42c | 4,020$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.23 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Denis Shapovalov | 45c | 4,000$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 3,860$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.4 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Alex Molcan | 77c | 3,851$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.8 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Denis Shapovalov | 37c | 3,431$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.61 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Alex Molcan | 57c | 3,168$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.42 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 3,130$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.68 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Denis Shapovalov | 33c | 2,903$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.73 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…c370backed Alex Molcan | 47c | 2,837$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Denis Shapovalov | 47c | 2,799$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.23 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 2,735$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.82 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 2,608$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.4 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 2,351$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.68 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Denis Shapovalov | 8c | 2,256$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.46 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Denis Shapovalov | 31c | 2,077$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.28 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…fc9bbacked Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 2,058$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.04 | 223 | 52%116 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Alex Molcan | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…a13dbacked Alex Molcan | 46c | 1,967$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.61 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alex Molcan | 70c | 1,959$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.21 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 1,948$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.59 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 1,945$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.19 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Alex Molcan | 47c | 1,936$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.29 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 18c | 1,927$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.69 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alex Molcan | 55c | 1,922$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.75 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 1,836$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.07 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84b…ed6dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…ed5ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 53c | 1,770$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 1,740$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.12 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 1,735$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.82 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Alex Molcan | 43c | 1,718$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.24 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 1,709$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Denis Shapovalov | 49c | 1,584$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.35 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Denis Shapovalov | 12c | 1,579$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.44 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alex Molcan | 71c | 1,472$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.42 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…a72abacked Alex Molcan | 45c | 1,441$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.15 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alex Molcan | 54c | 1,385$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Alex Molcan | 46c | 1,356$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.11 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 32c | 1,195$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.72 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 1,179$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.99 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Molcan | 57c | 1,165$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.23 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Alex Molcan | 46c | 1,155$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.6 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 1,124$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.65 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 1,058$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.41 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Alex Molcan | 64c | 1,008$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.96 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Alex Molcan | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 999.54$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.74 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Alex Molcan | 47c | 989.96$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.68 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Alex Molcan | 44c | 988.36$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.48 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Alex Molcan | 47c | 983.84$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.44 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 972$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.88 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 909$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Denis Shapovalov | 48c | 867.82$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.53 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.1 | 208 | 44.2%92 W · 116 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.4 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Denis Shapovalov | 38c | 794.22$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.67 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 789.96$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.32 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 729.39$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.65 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Alex Molcan | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Alex Molcan | 43c | 699.92$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Denis Shapovalov | 28c | 690.44$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.32 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Alex Molcan | 44c | 690.41$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Alex Molcan | 42c | 685.29$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 46c | 666.05$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.08 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Alex Molcan | 44c | 658.91$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.99 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Alex Molcan | 44c | 630.99$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.35 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 599.98$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Alex Molcan | 44c | 590.82$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.86 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Denis Shapovalov | 47c | 588.9$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.68 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Denis Shapovalov | 39c | 574.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.42 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 561.47$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.8 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Denis Shapovalov | 34c | 550$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Alex Molcan | 44c | 545.72$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.08 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc452…7234backed Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.72 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 540.2$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.71 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Denis Shapovalov | 44c | 515.44$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.23 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43b…5913backed Denis Shapovalov | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Denis Shapovalov | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 476.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Alex Molcan | 48c | 472.29$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.59 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 463.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 425.57$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.58 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf82…91ccbacked Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 414.17$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcanthis page
- Denis Shapovalov vs. Alex Molcan: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Shapovalov vs MolcanMolcan won
- Set Handicap: Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Molcan (+1.5)Molcan won
- Shapovalov vs. Molcan: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.