Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69179696f4518a8096ebe02606e4cd3632a7921d676f1f67fc7dd83e3896a46a

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $154,907
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $173,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,907 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5877…d894backed Under	44c	40,000$17,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,600	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	57c	15,410$8,790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,619.9	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	56c	14,326$7,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,370.92	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	56c	9,794$5,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,271.99	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0748…a31ebacked Under	45c	7,693$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under	43c	6,760$2,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,908.89	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Under	44c	3,524$1,551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550.75	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed Under	2c	2,521$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.36	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+8.1wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+64.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa042…62bdbacked Under	44c	2,500$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over	58c	2,284$1,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.48	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Over	57c	2,071$1,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$890.32	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over	50c	2,029$1,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,014.26	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under	43c	1,722$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.11	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under	42c	1,667$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.34	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under	44c	1,538$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.72	301	43.9%132 W · 169 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over	56c	1,511$846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.83	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-4.1wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	40c	1,500$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	239	26.4%63 W · 176 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	43c	1,341$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.42	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under	43c	1,280$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.26	135	54.8%74 W · 61 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Over	57c	1,228$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.07	72	29.2%21 W · 51 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	43c	1,189$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.93	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under	44c	1,136$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over	48c	1,042$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.63	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+10.8wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x388a…e87cbacked Under	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	39c	962.58$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.96	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over	57c	906.91$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.97	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over	54c	900$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05ba…ca40backed Under	44c	877.27$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a9a…c308backed Over	61c	815.58$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.58	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+3.3wins	+0.14per pick	60cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	43c	768$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.24	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over	69c	722$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.09	115	49.6%57 W · 58 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	22c	638.53$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.56	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Under	43c	595.35$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	114	48.2%55 W · 59 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over	57c	575.44$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.44	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed Under	50c	516.78$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74b4…439dbacked Over	57c	491.23$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.23	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over	57c	462.93$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.06	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under	43c	438.94$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.74	175	44%77 W · 98 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over	56c	438.26$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.83	337	53.1%179 W · 158 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under	19c	437.52$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.42	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over	48c	416.59$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.63	241	58.1%140 W · 101 L	+34.1wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf846…cb9fbacked Over	57c	385.96$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	58c	362.07$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.07	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over	57c	350.88$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.88	300	59.7%179 W · 121 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under	44c	345$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.8	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over	58c	345$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.9	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Under	58c	344.83$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.8wins	-0.27per pick	49cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x04fa…9e24backed Under	57c	300$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.6wins	-0.44per pick	60cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under	42c	299.99$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	164	53.7%88 W · 76 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x604b…68e3backed Under	43c	283.39$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.19	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under	42c	258.8$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.88	222	29.3%65 W · 157 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over	58c	258.62$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.62	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	26c	250.81$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.42	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over	70c	241$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.56	614	41.2%253 W · 361 L	-27.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Under	42c	238$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bff…5e35backed Under	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under	45c	224$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	118	66.1%78 W · 40 L	+13.0wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2078…2d66backed Over	57c	199.42$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.75	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-7.0wins	-0.25per pick	46cpaid	-60%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over	51c	197.24$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.53	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over	57c	189.16$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.34	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Over	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8e…27ffbacked Over	56c	180.18$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.28	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	59	64.4%38 W · 21 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over	58c	172.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.41	160	45.6%73 W · 87 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Under	44c	160.15$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-7.2wins	-0.20per pick	38cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7068…8bfcbacked Over	52c	152.88$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.88	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over	44c	146.25$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.9	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Under	46c	130.43$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc568…ecb7backed Over	57c	120.95$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.01	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0843…97f5backed Over	58c	120.69$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.69	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	57c	119.3$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.3	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ef…10ebbacked Under	52c	115.38$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	81	61.7%50 W · 31 L	+6.2wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd816…84b9backed Over	47c	112.81$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.79	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over	57c	105.26$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.26	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa5…61a5backed Over	57c	105.26$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.26	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	57c	104.34$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.86	277	48.7%135 W · 142 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e30…db95backed Over	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9da5…82e7backed Over	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	95	54.7%52 W · 43 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.27per pick	50cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d36…9155backed Over	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Under	49c	93.08$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	39	59%23 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under	43c	89.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6781…2ff5backed Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f5…8797backed Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3592…c81abacked Over	58c	86.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8052…cd55backed Over	57c	85.72$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.86	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under	37c	79.37$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.37	153	47.1%72 W · 81 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e93…e4f7backed Over	63c	79.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	47c	76.95$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.92	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over	58c	72.55$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.47	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Over	58c	68.97$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.97	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over	62c	67.12$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.71	198	53%105 W · 93 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5this page
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event