Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87a79cecde834fb472c4bdacca960db27a19eb428e81ada0ea82acddbbcd171a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 21,538$8,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,408.2 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 49c | 11,479$5,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,854.15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 74c | 7,349$5,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,435.65 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 79c | 6,555$5,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.54 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 3,305$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.74 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 75c | 2,475$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.25 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Over | 35c | 2,352$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.06 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Under | 67c | 1,909$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 27c | 1,594$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.15 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Under | 66c | 1,513$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.51 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 1,328$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.25 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…6428backed Under | 67c | 1,313$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Under | 5c | 1,269$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 27c | 1,195$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.99 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…9e24backed Under | 78c | 1,137$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 60cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 55c | 1,103$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.39 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…2d63backed Over | 35c | 1,080$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 74c | 1,071$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.47 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 52c | 1,060$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.3 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 33c | 1,047$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.55 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 33c | 911.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Over | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4557backed Over | 69c | 830.81$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 36c | 736.38$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 40c | 721.13$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.09 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 66c | 689.97$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.38 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 34c | 675.77$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.52 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 34c | 602.09$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.38 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 540.28$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.48 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 47c | 531.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.19 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 54c | 499.98$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…eed9backed Under | 66c | 477.27$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Under | 50c | 460.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 56c | 405$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.95 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Over | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654f…ec71backed Under | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc961…01c6backed Under | 65c | 390$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Under | 30c | 340.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 51c | 332.21$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.21 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 28c | 331$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.88 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed Over | 49c | 306.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.34 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…787fbacked Under | 65c | 290$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 40c | 286.63$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.04 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a3…14f4backed Over | 74c | 286.49$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 33c | 283.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.01 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 36c | 283.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab5…71e9backed Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…a58abacked Over | 80c | 256.65$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 40c | 246.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…fd12backed Over | 35c | 230.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 33c | 229.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.51 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…0019backed Over | 49c | 228.57$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 37c | 220.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…5b71backed Over | 34c | 209.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa142…375abacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 54c | 207.26$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 205.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…bf91backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over | 35c | 188.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Over | 49c | 187.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Over | 61c | 186.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…ab4abacked Under | 55c | 181.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Under | 57c | 175.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 60c | 174.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 141.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 136.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 77c | 121.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 68c | 119.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…84dbbacked Under | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Under | 67c | 106.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Over | 68c | 101.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Under | 53c | 100.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 49c | 98.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 66c | 96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.