TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6779…eed9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.95
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Magdalena Frechbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Jiujiang: En-Shuo Liang vs Taylah Prestonbacked Taylah Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$843.6
Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Viktoria Morvayovabacked Zhuoxuan Bai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$74
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.02
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.02
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
Madrid Open: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$148
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Rublev (+1.5)backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$105.67
Zverev vs. Cobolli: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Vit Koprivabacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$80.27
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$135.56
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.52
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)backed Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.07
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$93.22
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.14
Grand Prix Hassan II: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Luca Van Asschebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+126.6%+$150.02
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.27
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.11
Grand Prix Hassan II: Corentin Moutet vs Marco Trungellitibacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Miami Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$133.33
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$279.94
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$72.77
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.61
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35%+$54.5
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$15.48
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$315
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$314.6
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$285.65
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$1,012.68
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$882.72
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.99
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$95.79
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.48
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$68.53
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$911Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$315.05
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.48
All 13 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$94.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$985
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$894Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$893.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.