TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karolina Muchovaof Elina Svitolina, Karolina Muchova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$565,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$644,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc816…7917backed Elina Svitolina58c34,029$19,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,726.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-52.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Karolina Muchova44c30,669$13,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,031.419545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Karolina Muchova58c23,490$13,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,907.252,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9102…89d6backed Karolina Muchova65c22,186$14,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,765.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac39…95c7backed Karolina Muchova39c21,977$8,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,304.147025.7%18 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Elina Svitolina53c19,834$10,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,472.211,20649%591 W · 615 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Elina Svitolina60c16,874$10,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,050.0848851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Elina Svitolina56c15,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4008940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Karolina Muchova46c12,608$5,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,761.287,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Karolina Muchova64c11,986$7,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,311.946,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed Elina Svitolina55c10,111$5,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,561.115957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x813a…b67fbacked Elina Svitolina53c8,975$4,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,777.253348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Elina Svitolina56c8,693$4,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,86831056.1%174 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Elina Svitolina53c8,445$4,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.4333442.5%142 W · 192 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Karolina Muchova44c8,313$3,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,655.1122242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Karolina Muchova45c7,724$3,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,266.5311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Elina Svitolina56c6,954$3,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,894.414339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b52…568ebacked Elina Svitolina65c6,680$4,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,333.5920459.3%121 W · 83 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Elina Svitolina34c6,103$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.041,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…e403backed Karolina Muchova47c5,809$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.8811554.8%63 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Elina Svitolina40c5,507$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.1229028.3%82 W · 208 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karolina Muchova49c5,334$2,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.279,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Elina Svitolina47c5,134$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.251,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Elina Svitolina40c5,094$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.9141251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Karolina Muchova52c5,086$2,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.125,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Karolina Muchova45c4,615$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,534.312445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Karolina Muchova63c4,444$2,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.144,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Elina Svitolina61c4,428$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.756550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Elina Svitolina56c4,346$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4341,27756.6%723 W · 554 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Karolina Muchova45c4,210$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.5427846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Karolina Muchova47c4,209$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.22,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Karolina Muchova45c4,166$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.8266139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Karolina Muchova42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.9949752.3%260 W · 237 L+28.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Karolina Muchova47c3,299$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.2156757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Elina Svitolina30c3,134$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.977427%20 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Karolina Muchova39c3,102$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.792,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Elina Svitolina39c3,050$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.6980153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Elina Svitolina40c2,804$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.5145737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Karolina Muchova56c2,783$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.313455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Elina Svitolina40c2,750$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.291,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Elina Svitolina56c2,608$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.444754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Karolina Muchova36c2,462$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,575.497356.2%41 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Elina Svitolina50c2,335$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db6…d7afbacked Elina Svitolina66c2,018$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Karolina Muchova75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Elina Svitolina27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.991,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Karolina Muchova43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.9858232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Elina Svitolina49c1,990$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.232524%6 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Karolina Muchova47c1,936$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.299242.4%39 W · 53 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Karolina Muchova54c1,869$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.6137257.5%214 W · 158 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Elina Svitolina59c1,822$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.921244.3%94 W · 118 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Elina Svitolina54c1,805$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.3597745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Elina Svitolina56c1,733$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.3554450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Karolina Muchova48c1,616$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.321,12542.8%482 W · 643 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Elina Svitolina24c1,588$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.9615751.6%81 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Elina Svitolina55c1,560$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.259931.3%31 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-38.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Karolina Muchova48c1,465$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.9959348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Elina Svitolina30c1,346$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.5391050.2%457 W · 453 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f5…b48abacked Elina Svitolina37c1,300$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Elina Svitolina41c1,289$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.2940548.1%195 W · 210 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Karolina Muchova47c1,282$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.2321451.4%110 W · 104 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Elina Svitolina52c1,277$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.4581933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Karolina Muchova47c1,242$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.1932851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Karolina Muchova39c1,232$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.941,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c0c…a55dbacked Elina Svitolina53c1,229$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.1322965.9%151 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9451…c3f9backed Karolina Muchova40c1,205$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.126723.9%16 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Elina Svitolina40c1,202$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.4655243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Karolina Muchova54c1,193$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.962,43350.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L+81.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bfb…9c40backed Elina Svitolina56c1,100$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.996448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Karolina Muchova47c1,058$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.632,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Karolina Muchova56c1,048$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.564932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49bc…5899backed Elina Svitolina65c1,038$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.582552%13 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Elina Svitolina6c1,026$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5517348%83 W · 90 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Elina Svitolina31c1,020$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.831,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Elina Svitolina39c1,019$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.4759253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Elina Svitolina50c1,004$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.652,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Elina Svitolina53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5307541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Karolina Muchova46c999.98$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9910646.2%49 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Elina Svitolina65c995.62$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.2324558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Karolina Muchova44c966.4$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.1854138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Elina Svitolina52c941.64$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.471,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Elina Svitolina64c917.25$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.0437351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Elina Svitolina56c869.29$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.815854.4%86 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…8ea7backed Elina Svitolina54c850$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Elina Svitolina38c842.01$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.1765652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Karolina Muchova40c833$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.875748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Elina Svitolina59c826.61$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.750458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Elina Svitolina35c825$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.31,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d2…efb2backed Elina Svitolina60c816.39$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.93560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Elina Svitolina52c755$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.639534.4%136 W · 259 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4720…007bbacked Karolina Muchova44c753.84$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.159250%46 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Elina Svitolina53c750$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.51,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Elina Svitolina47c712.87$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2974346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Elina Svitolina60c711.16$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.5711530.4%35 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Elina Svitolina49c705.02$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.1655360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Karolina Muchova45c683.07$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.379244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Karolina Muchova45c653.69$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.531,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Elina Svitolina31c646.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.471,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Karolina Muchova42c640.35$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2121754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Karolina Muchova43c633$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.811,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.