Tennis · resolved market
Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Viktoria Morvayova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45ca41647bfa76605dbe9fcee5702f8c663a3d4d49b79e7cc07ad46763c89392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhuoxuan Baiof Zhuoxuan Bai, Viktoria Morvayova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Viktoria Morvayova | 1c | 4,767$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Viktoria Morvayova | 6c | 3,240$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.06 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Viktoria Morvayova | 6c | 2,391$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Viktoria Morvayova | 4c | 1,619$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…ce7abacked Viktoria Morvayova | 17c | 1,606$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.29 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Viktoria Morvayova | 6c | 1,415$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Viktoria Morvayova | 19c | 1,061$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…eed9backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Viktoria Morvayova | 20c | 994$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.71 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 10c | 993.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 223 | 38.6%86 W · 137 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Viktoria Morvayova | 12c | 899.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 497 | 40.6%202 W · 295 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Viktoria Morvayova | 19c | 717.47$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 20c | 681$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 80c | 666$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Viktoria Morvayova | 10c | 598.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Viktoria Morvayova | 17c | 215$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…6d47backed Viktoria Morvayova | 10c | 181.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Viktoria Morvayova | 19c | 160.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Viktoria Morvayova | 7c | 151.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Viktoria Morvayova | 17c | 136.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5283…b53cbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 8c | 126$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 15c | 111.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Viktoria Morvayova | 18c | 107.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 21c | 74.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Viktoria Morvayova | 15c | 66.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…d272backed Viktoria Morvayova | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 79c | 58.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Viktoria Morvayova | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Zhuoxuan Bai | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.