Euroleague · resolved market
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Monaco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37ff7b28b8d4f94dc774312d8ff53cec3291c4cb0449b1a294225a6d7fb3205d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zalgiris Kaunasof Zalgiris Kaunas, Monaco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Monaco | 46c | 3,253$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.94 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…c0e3backed Monaco | 48c | 2,000$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 53c | 1,629$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monaco | 13c | 1,526$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.64 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 52c | 1,317$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 77c | 945.11$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Monaco | 48c | 786.28$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.67 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 783.31$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.82 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Monaco | 27c | 601.01$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Monaco | 47c | 559.84$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 56c | 549.97$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Monaco | 55c | 428.04$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Monaco | 10c | 331.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 310$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Monaco | 44c | 294.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Monaco | 44c | 248.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Monaco | 43c | 199.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 79c | 183.25$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…8cadbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 140.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 123.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Monaco | 47c | 96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Monaco | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Monaco | 28c | 80.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 76.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 76c | 76.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…d25abacked Monaco | 15c | 65.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5b…a882backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 63.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Monaco | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…254bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 59.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd43b…555dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 54.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb708…3b26backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 51.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Monaco | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Monaco | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…845abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Monaco | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Monaco | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…583abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 58c | 41.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…0fe3backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e3…b1debacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 53c | 37.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 68c | 36.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…2e71backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…f3d6backed Monaco | 44c | 35.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…1c4fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…3af2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 57c | 31.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…11afbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 27.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9f…49b1backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Monaco | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c7…6de6backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 55c | 25.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…f3bbbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 24.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Monaco | 49c | 22.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1067…11d5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 58c | 20.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d94…14f8backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 57c | 20.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc549…8856backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.