TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Alexandra Eala vs Zeynep Sonmez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ealaof Eala, Sonmez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$215,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2727…eef4backed Eala50c12,005$6,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,004.1819134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Sonmez50c9,600$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,829.7135247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Eala52c8,448$4,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.6914250.7%72 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Sonmez16c6,405$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007630.3%23 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Sonmez52c5,739$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.5716242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sonmez22c5,349$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.842,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Eala80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0007375.3%55 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Sonmez49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9943051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Eala49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9527063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Sonmez55c4,600$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5205950.8%30 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sonmez10c4,477$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.52,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Eala47c4,244$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.061,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Sonmez50c4,060$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0308248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Eala48c3,850$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.310547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eala46c3,704$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.461,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Sonmez54c3,038$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.5937540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…7ca0backed Sonmez54c2,932$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.21850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Sonmez49c2,903$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.3419846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Eala53c2,619$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.53,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Sonmez44c2,396$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0618040%32 W · 48 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Sonmez46c2,380$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08516830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Eala51c2,293$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.0459151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Eala46c2,200$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1932227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Eala49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0207736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Eala57c1,866$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.7614766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Sonmez17c1,780$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Sonmez13c1,776$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.687533.3%25 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Eala68c1,775$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.35232.7%17 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Sonmez8c1,625$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Eala68c1,582$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.6720844.2%92 W · 116 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Sonmez14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Eala60c1,298$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.6111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Eala47c1,277$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.341,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Eala69c1,087$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.9697046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Sonmez43c1,066$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.971,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca5…6d0cbacked Sonmez51c1,057$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Eala46c1,045$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.32352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Eala46c1,022$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.6221338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Eala71c853$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.749541.1%39 W · 56 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd246…5622backed Eala66c847.82$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.262326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95b5…0e15backed Eala45c810.54$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Sonmez38c790.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30053752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Eala50c750.16$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.0825544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Eala47c748$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.1525428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Eala69c730$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.3799044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Eala47c711.92$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.6830530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Sonmez51c633.22$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.4853058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa990…965cbacked Sonmez16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Eala70c615$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.041,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sonmez22c532.59$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.262,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Eala47c500.18$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0137339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Eala45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27534745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Sonmez50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbe…4d6abacked Sonmez9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Sonmez55c486.14$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5668350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Eala67c453.97$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.21,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Sonmez47c434.47$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6675748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Eala47c423.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9819129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8240…edebbacked Eala69c410.13$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x279b…2365backed Eala48c401$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2077237.5%27 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Eala47c394.88$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.062,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8828…c29abacked Eala51c393.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.33616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Eala47c392.98$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2878152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Sonmez50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1941,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Eala64c369$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8415356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Eala53c333$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.956250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Eala64c317.51$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.572,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Eala49c303.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8416665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbb…7fdabacked Sonmez54c300$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…783bbacked Eala45c296.8$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.851258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c2…3fc7backed Sonmez54c296.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.73742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Sonmez36c288.79$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9698240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…c36abacked Sonmez51c280$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.82250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeaa…e2d0backed Sonmez54c275.13$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.911526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.8wins-0.32per pick59cpaid-54.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x373f…4275backed Sonmez45c268.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sonmez49c262.31$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5376140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Sonmez53c262$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8611941.2%49 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Sonmez50c258.87$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.151435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26e6…7443backed Sonmez50c255$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57ad…46d7backed Eala51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1de…3f6ebacked Eala50c245$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e32…0104backed Sonmez50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Eala50c230.86$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4323945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked Eala47c230$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdf…3198backed Eala48c225.71$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Eala46c215.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2854348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Eala54c213.75$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.925542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Eala49c213.65$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9655646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3fa…1d28backed Eala47c212.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Eala50c207.87$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5931753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Eala47c207$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3149632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…980bbacked Eala49c205.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.044153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Eala49c203.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2523735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Sonmez36c200.59$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0947057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb0…4cd4backed Eala46c200.09$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.282045%9 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Eala56c200$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Sonmez42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8470465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Eala51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9858753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Eala51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Eala51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.086758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.