MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66da630527e098135a47f12a581093ae30edcc5693a5014e1dda433495a306fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angelsof Astros, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $554,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $551,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $554,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels | 46c | 350,715$161,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189,536.21 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Astros | 54c | 80,000$43,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,200 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 56c | 64,101$35,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,906.71 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Astros | 54c | 55,000$29,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,700 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Astros | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,500 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 54c | 40,046$21,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,624.89 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Astros | 55c | 35,826$19,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,775.43 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Angels | 45c | 30,189$13,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,604.15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Astros | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 53c | 12,885$6,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,104.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Astros | 54c | 12,444$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.76 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Angels | 35c | 8,181$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,306.37 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Astros | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Angels | 45c | 6,468$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.49 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Angels | 43c | 5,857$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.37 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…be63backed Astros | 55c | 5,279$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 39c | 5,110$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 54c | 5,000$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.25 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Angels | 45c | 4,921$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Angels | 42c | 4,666$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.17 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Astros | 58c | 4,321$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 17c | 3,983$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.32 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Angels | 45c | 3,900$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.9 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Angels | 42c | 3,647$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.3 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Astros | 55c | 3,628$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.26 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Angels | 44c | 3,396$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.43 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Astros | 54c | 3,185$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.9 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Angels | 58c | 2,338$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.52 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Angels | 45c | 2,223$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Astros | 57c | 2,140$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.32 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Astros | 64c | 2,101$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.5 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Angels | 45c | 2,065$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.75 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 55c | 1,905$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.88 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.6 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 48c | 1,548$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.73 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Angels | 43c | 1,540$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.43 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Angels | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Astros | 79c | 1,396$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.32 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Astros | 56c | 1,378$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 50c | 1,261$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Angels | 44c | 1,110$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.59 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Angels | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Angels | 44c | 1,065$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.38 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Astros | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Angels | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Angels | 43c | 999.94$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Astros | 54c | 984.16$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…e657backed Astros | 63c | 921.06$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.68 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Astros | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Astros | 56c | 811.23$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.29 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Astros | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Astros | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 56c | 699.95$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.97 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Angels | 50c | 655$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Astros | 53c | 631.69$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.8 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Astros | 12c | 620.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Angels | 17c | 600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Angels | 40c | 599.81$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.5 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 56c | 575$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.75 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 56c | 548.9$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.49 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…8547backed Astros | 61c | 533.33$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels | 45c | 528.37$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.36 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 13c | 514$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Angels | 41c | 510$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Angels | 46c | 485.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.22 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Angels | 38c | 480.71$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Astros | 55c | 363.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Astros | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Angels | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Astros | 59c | 234.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Astros | 55c | 216.07$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Astros | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Astros | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Astros | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Angels | 18c | 162.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.41 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Astros | 44c | 161.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Angels | 45c | 157.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Astros | 61c | 155.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Astros | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c6…5db4backed Astros | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Angels | 27c | 140$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Astros | 54c | 137.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Angels | 46c | 136.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Astros | 10c | 130.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Angels | 42c | 127.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Astros | 56c | 121.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Astros | 55c | 116.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Astros | 55c | 108.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Astros | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Astros | 56c | 105.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astros | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e4…8241backed Astros | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…77ebbacked Angels | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…a5c7backed Angels | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa984…aa27backed Astros | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5614…49f1backed Astros | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcab6…f6e2backed Angels | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked Astros | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astros vs. Angelsthis page
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.