NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0495edb40ef96dbaf1e41a8669b0a79bc1b13255a757f40e14e759c4411855a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $925,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $925,929 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 626 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Red Wings | 55c | 345,970$190,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190,273.46 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Golden Knights | 45c | 250,000$112,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,500 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Red Wings | 56c | 135,000$75,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,600 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 45c | 101,128$45,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,944.65 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Golden Knights | 44c | 54,178$23,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,339.63 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Golden Knights | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,500 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Golden Knights | 46c | 35,461$16,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,237.07 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Golden Knights | 44c | 28,409$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,908.85 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 55c | 28,392$15,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,701.52 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Golden Knights | 44c | 20,959$9,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,718.04 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Red Wings | 56c | 20,672$11,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,537.26 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Red Wings | 56c | 14,204$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 11,911$5,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,640.19 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Golden Knights | 45c | 11,849$5,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,517.18 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 11,543$5,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,196.76 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Golden Knights | 44c | 11,298$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,294.06 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Red Wings | 55c | 11,250$6,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,187.5 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Golden Knights | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.11 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings | 56c | 11,000$6,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,180 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Red Wings | 55c | 10,576$5,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.8 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Red Wings | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.96 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Golden Knights | 44c | 9,999$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.67 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Golden Knights | 44c | 9,683$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.22 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.98 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Red Wings | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 55c | 8,643$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.58 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 8,530$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704.15 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Red Wings | 56c | 8,317$4,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,657.73 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Red Wings | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.97 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 7,600$3,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,231.99 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Golden Knights | 44c | 6,509$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.08 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Red Wings | 56c | 6,250$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Red Wings | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Golden Knights | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Golden Knights | 45c | 4,889$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.89 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 56c | 4,805$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.55 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Red Wings | 54c | 4,285$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 53c | 4,055$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.2 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 10c | 3,828$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,458.71 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Golden Knights | 63c | 3,743$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.27 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Red Wings | 55c | 3,655$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.27 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.03 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Golden Knights | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Red Wings | 43c | 3,271$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.65 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Red Wings | 56c | 3,071$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Red Wings | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Red Wings | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Golden Knights | 44c | 2,585$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.52 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Golden Knights | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Golden Knights | 44c | 2,255$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.53 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 29c | 2,198$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Golden Knights | 44c | 2,171$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.73 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Red Wings | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Golden Knights | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Red Wings | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Golden Knights | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.98 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Red Wings | 56c | 1,981$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.29 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Golden Knights | 47c | 1,980$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.51 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…fd64backed Golden Knights | 46c | 1,942$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights | 58c | 1,933$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.72 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Red Wings | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Golden Knights | 59c | 1,700$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,696$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.09 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Golden Knights | 51c | 1,602$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.47 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…de36backed Red Wings | 56c | 1,307$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 1,283$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.61 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Golden Knights | 45c | 1,280$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Golden Knights | 45c | 1,273$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.86 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x311f…71a9backed Red Wings | 56c | 1,254$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.28 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,234$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.86 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Golden Knights | 9c | 1,161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.93 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Red Wings | 56c | 1,160$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.33 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights | 9c | 1,087$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.37 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Red Wings | 56c | 1,018$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Red Wings | 58c | 1,000$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.35 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Red Wings | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Golden Knights | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Red Wings | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Golden Knights | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Red Wings | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…4d55backed Golden Knights | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Red Wings | 56c | 999.99$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Golden Knights | 44c | 999.97$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.78 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Golden Knights | 45c | 999.93$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.96 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Red Wings | 55c | 997.07$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.39 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Golden Knights | 42c | 971.11$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.41 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Golden Knights | 16c | 929.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.82 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Golden Knights | 47c | 912.69$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.73 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Red Wings | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Red Wings | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Red Wings | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…b24abacked Red Wings | 56c | 840$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Wings | 60c | 817.59$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.83 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Golden Knights | 47c | 804.19$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.19 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…d8fdbacked Red Wings | 45c | 795.14$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.82 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Golden Knights | 42c | 786$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.88 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.