NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2258fabccea4a7f4bb73e8078641ce34ce98ae2e46251b56d9d6e7aaa6b246e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $795,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $795,819 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 46c | 414,344$191,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191,554.29 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 55c | 200,000$110,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 101,118$54,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,514.34 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 56c | 54,479$30,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,146.4 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 45c | 30,649$13,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,791.98 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 55c | 23,949$13,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,776.85 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 54c | 16,575$8,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,624.5 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 55c | 14,912$8,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,774.13 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 54c | 13,284$7,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,110.66 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 43c | 12,024$5,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,188.28 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 46c | 10,024$4,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,610.82 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 55c | 7,200$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 54c | 6,048$3,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.46 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 55c | 5,038$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.05 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 55c | 4,810$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.16 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…aed6backed Over | 55c | 4,415$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.85 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 2,793$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.27 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 55c | 2,500$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.96 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Over | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 1,700$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.82 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Over | 55c | 1,500$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 55c | 1,216$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.45 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Over | 55c | 1,030$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.5 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 55c | 949.65$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.51 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Over | 57c | 901.19$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.11 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 55c | 766$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.7 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 57c | 720.04$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.33 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 56c | 621$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.24 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 55c | 616.52$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.78 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 59c | 549.85$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.89 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 55c | 500$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…7b22backed Over | 56c | 453.48$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 413.91$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…6078backed Under | 45c | 408$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 386.25$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 56c | 374.64$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 55c | 363.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.78 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…fd6cbacked Under | 45c | 357$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 43c | 340.6$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.46 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…4f07backed Under | 45c | 324$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…2ce1backed Over | 55c | 260$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…7c94backed Over | 55c | 258$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…f0b6backed Over | 55c | 218$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 33c | 204.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…dc40backed Under | 45c | 178.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf78…5b50backed Over | 55c | 178$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa843…41b3backed Over | 55c | 154$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…a55bbacked Over | 55c | 152$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…3eacbacked Under | 45c | 126$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Over | 54c | 122$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…4b91backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Over | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 108.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 55c | 106.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 57c | 105.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Under | 46c | 104$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…5704backed Under | 45c | 92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…108bbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Over | 54c | 89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…947cbacked Over | 56c | 79.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8686…855fbacked Over | 55c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…688dbacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Under | 46c | 63.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 62.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 56c | 60.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 56c | 46.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Over | 56c | 45.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 181 | 50.8%92 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 46c | 42.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 69c | 41.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. Red WingsGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.