NFL · resolved market
Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67e68c5eee8ac767dd1177de8c653b20642fee48f0f2a56d784e4856b130749d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,810,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,825,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,810,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 657 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 401,299$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.6 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…3074backed Yes | 1c | 202,877$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…99e7backed Yes | 1c | 185,589$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…399bbacked Yes | 1c | 175,618$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.74 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2a…1158backed Yes | 0c | 144,333$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…c482backed Yes | 0c | 136,100$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 7c | 116,200$8,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,474.56 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 9c | 106,255$9,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,501.77 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes | 1c | 75,329$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.9 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Yes | 13c | 73,238$9,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,476.39 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…045bbacked Yes | 0c | 65,020$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 10c | 56,984$5,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,739.17 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 1c | 54,156$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.99 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 48,087$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 1c | 44,683$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…2b5cbacked Yes | 12c | 43,825$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…69efbacked Yes | 12c | 42,284$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165a…61ecbacked Yes | 12c | 42,269$4,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176d…4a26backed Yes | 2c | 39,381$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.65 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 0c | 36,697$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…01f7backed Yes | 0c | 33,624$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc467…ea72backed Yes | 0c | 33,020$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda57…a851backed Yes | 0c | 33,020$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…38e8backed Yes | 12c | 32,869$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Yes | 12c | 31,311$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.62 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 11c | 24,141$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.49 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…4041backed Yes | 11c | 21,773$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd605…74a3backed Yes | 12c | 20,690$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…c5fbbacked Yes | 12c | 20,690$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…8171backed Yes | 11c | 20,606$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa000…68e9backed Yes | 11c | 20,342$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…e52bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…55e7backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 18,813$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.65 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 5c | 17,543$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.73 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 6c | 16,387$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.19 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…22d5backed Yes | 0c | 15,400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 13c | 13,050$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.88 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…37eabacked Yes | 12c | 12,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 11c | 12,251$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.34 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 0c | 12,086$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…e7d8backed Yes | 11c | 11,827$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7c…73a2backed Yes | 12c | 10,957$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…7648backed Yes | 12c | 10,957$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755b…9812backed Yes | 12c | 10,957$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…c38abacked Yes | 12c | 10,957$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd7…4fe2backed Yes | 12c | 10,957$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…320cbacked Yes | 12c | 10,956$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6f…b0e8backed Yes | 12c | 10,956$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…ad0abacked Yes | 12c | 10,922$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dc…8fe8backed Yes | 12c | 10,907$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071b…de87backed Yes | 12c | 10,907$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…1177backed Yes | 12c | 10,907$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…a4c1backed Yes | 12c | 10,907$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes | 7c | 10,709$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.5 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…6672backed Yes | 0c | 10,450$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 12c | 10,321$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.83 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…c4c7backed Yes | 0c | 10,310$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…f0bebacked Yes | 11c | 10,171$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…dbd2backed Yes | 11c | 10,171$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +290.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 11c | 10,003$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.95 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…e61bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…c9debacked Yes | 12c | 8,694$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…7930backed Yes | 12c | 8,620$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Yes | 12c | 8,552$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Yes | 8c | 8,342$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.35 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 1c | 8,107$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…353bbacked Yes | 10c | 8,044$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3cd9backed Yes | 11c | 8,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…307bbacked Yes | 13c | 7,518$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 2c | 7,335$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…fae0backed Yes | 1c | 7,050$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 8c | 7,001$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.18 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88d…2838backed Yes | 12c | 6,897$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 6,144$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…3addbacked Yes | 2c | 6,060$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 13c | 6,059$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…5377backed Yes | 13c | 6,000$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…9629backed Yes | 12c | 5,921$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 4c | 5,656$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.85 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd5…6e61backed Yes | 14c | 5,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc469…dd61backed Yes | 7c | 5,354$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698e…8042backed Yes | 1c | 5,268$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 10c | 5,207$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.15 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 12c | 5,152$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.11 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…2822backed Yes | 12c | 5,135$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,099$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 10c | 5,012$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.59 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 12c | 5,000$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3079…b5fabacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa472…45aebacked Yes | 11c | 5,000$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.13 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 0c | 4,596$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…c238backed Yes | 12c | 4,242$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Yes | 7c | 4,214$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…3129backed Yes | 0c | 4,080$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.