NFL · resolved market
Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbbff50d5b91df1c098990afb653c799660e7bb2a818501b00f03bdfadb351c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,827,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,294,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,827,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 887,581$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.58 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 1c | 514,607$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,835.24 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 486,274$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.52 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 1c | 415,649$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.55 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 383,980$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.59 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 351,266$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.8 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 0c | 271,517$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.37 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 0c | 150,340$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 0c | 128,314$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 126,358$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.43 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…717dbacked Yes | 1c | 121,632$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 104,849$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.95 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…cd51backed Yes | 1c | 88,016$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.77 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3511…a52bbacked Yes | 1c | 82,021$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…aeabbacked Yes | 1c | 78,516$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 75,084$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 71,167$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 0c | 70,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…56c1backed Yes | 1c | 63,636$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03d…5f80backed Yes | 1c | 63,072$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b9…94dbbacked Yes | 1c | 62,473$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…f608backed Yes | 1c | 62,463$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x957b…d799backed Yes | 1c | 62,152$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…d355backed Yes | 1c | 62,117$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…f8d9backed Yes | 1c | 62,055$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…faf4backed Yes | 1c | 61,936$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…fd14backed Yes | 1c | 61,924$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa868…9693backed Yes | 1c | 61,912$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15f…a6dabacked Yes | 1c | 61,897$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…2b70backed Yes | 1c | 61,857$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…3524backed Yes | 1c | 61,852$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f2…d12fbacked Yes | 1c | 61,852$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…d98cbacked Yes | 1c | 61,852$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f3…caebbacked Yes | 1c | 61,808$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…8de0backed Yes | 1c | 61,761$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…e03ebacked Yes | 1c | 61,702$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…036abacked Yes | 1c | 61,610$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17c…939fbacked Yes | 1c | 61,522$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8877…a200backed Yes | 1c | 61,516$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8b…99bbbacked Yes | 1c | 61,451$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…a008backed Yes | 1c | 61,442$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…52a0backed Yes | 1c | 61,431$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3f…da74backed Yes | 1c | 61,394$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbee…1a01backed Yes | 1c | 61,293$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db5…69d0backed Yes | 1c | 61,212$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…e9e4backed Yes | 1c | 61,203$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…591ebacked Yes | 1c | 61,200$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…eb12backed Yes | 1c | 61,165$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…698bbacked Yes | 1c | 61,074$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…ca71backed Yes | 1c | 61,047$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…41f1backed Yes | 1c | 60,938$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…6621backed Yes | 1c | 60,929$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…f665backed Yes | 1c | 60,890$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…2689backed Yes | 1c | 60,868$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff1…6b83backed Yes | 1c | 60,818$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…aa14backed Yes | 1c | 60,816$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…a834backed Yes | 1c | 60,816$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x335b…8114backed Yes | 1c | 60,816$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ce…9d89backed Yes | 1c | 60,775$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8c…22b0backed Yes | 1c | 60,627$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901a…afa9backed Yes | 1c | 60,592$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…e373backed Yes | 1c | 60,578$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…029bbacked Yes | 1c | 60,538$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…0223backed Yes | 1c | 60,520$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…00b1backed Yes | 1c | 60,448$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…c357backed Yes | 1c | 60,334$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…4621backed Yes | 1c | 60,304$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab67…0ca5backed Yes | 1c | 60,107$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943c…ce47backed Yes | 1c | 60,094$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…b70dbacked Yes | 1c | 60,060$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…c87fbacked Yes | 1c | 60,015$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…324ebacked Yes | 1c | 60,003$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…9dccbacked Yes | 1c | 59,992$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91cd…4a85backed Yes | 1c | 59,953$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…8d78backed Yes | 1c | 59,757$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec1…81d9backed Yes | 1c | 59,705$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a2…fb82backed Yes | 1c | 59,566$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5719…1e3fbacked Yes | 1c | 59,533$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…2e2ebacked Yes | 1c | 59,527$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…cbe4backed Yes | 1c | 59,487$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69e…dc3cbacked Yes | 1c | 59,481$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…44ffbacked Yes | 1c | 59,445$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x121b…7e78backed Yes | 1c | 59,441$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…48f0backed Yes | 1c | 59,421$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…a76abacked Yes | 1c | 59,089$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777c…6a6cbacked Yes | 1c | 59,081$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…03b6backed Yes | 1c | 58,978$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57b…d072backed Yes | 1c | 58,953$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…0422backed Yes | 1c | 58,878$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…eeeebacked Yes | 1c | 58,814$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…4e1dbacked Yes | 1c | 58,750$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…98babacked Yes | 1c | 58,738$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa403…6294backed Yes | 1c | 58,651$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…d905backed Yes | 1c | 58,366$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x706b…bb12backed Yes | 1c | 58,262$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…c900backed Yes | 1c | 58,246$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…8f3fbacked Yes | 1c | 58,220$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…3bd6backed Yes | 1c | 58,220$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343a…a168backed Yes | 1c | 58,217$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc70c…eb8bbacked Yes | 1c | 58,192$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.