NFL · resolved market
Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95effab3f01f856708b93dd1e9cc92c8774eba9e387c49128007d6a19f6b035c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,156,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,609,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,156,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 0c | 522,442$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.73 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 455,915$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.66 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 1c | 384,893$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.46 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 2c | 383,625$7,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,570.01 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…0a17backed Yes | 1c | 321,003$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 293,871$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.43 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 207,837$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.18 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 0c | 166,922$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.69 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 87,995$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.04 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…d51bbacked Yes | 0c | 61,400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…0c4dbacked Yes | 0c | 61,350$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…d94bbacked Yes | 0c | 61,300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…03b6backed Yes | 0c | 61,200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496b…3bf4backed Yes | 0c | 60,150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf51…a2a7backed Yes | 0c | 60,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd2…b7fdbacked Yes | 0c | 60,010$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380d…22b8backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae1…d672backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…c1b0backed Yes | 0c | 59,100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 59,055$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.27 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…7855backed Yes | 0c | 59,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d29…af18backed Yes | 0c | 59,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec4…bd41backed Yes | 0c | 58,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…5a22backed Yes | 0c | 58,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…02b3backed Yes | 0c | 55,555$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…820bbacked Yes | 0c | 54,800$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…c9fbbacked Yes | 0c | 53,940$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…0272backed Yes | 0c | 53,330$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x346d…288abacked Yes | 0c | 53,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1380…12cbbacked Yes | 1c | 52,718$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0d…b2b0backed Yes | 1c | 52,703$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61e…5768backed Yes | 1c | 51,281$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…e78abacked Yes | 0c | 51,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…6942backed Yes | 0c | 51,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2121…6127backed Yes | 1c | 50,128$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…f996backed Yes | 0c | 40,500$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 2c | 39,096$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.69 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…cd51backed Yes | 1c | 35,010$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.82 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Yes | 3c | 33,884$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.77 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 25,266$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.13 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…767cbacked Yes | 1c | 22,475$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4663…5888backed Yes | 1c | 21,994$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaf…2155backed Yes | 1c | 19,939$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517e…d029backed Yes | 1c | 16,632$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 1c | 15,029$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,011$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42da…6268backed Yes | 1c | 13,524$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ec…d611backed Yes | 0c | 13,451$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e1…5908backed Yes | 0c | 13,227$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 2c | 11,329$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.33 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…6e3cbacked Yes | 1c | 11,120$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 10,815$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 5c | 10,667$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.46 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 2c | 10,628$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.29 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…3495backed Yes | 1c | 10,529$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…8328backed Yes | 1c | 10,400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f7…f3d1backed Yes | 1c | 10,312$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1a…92abbacked Yes | 1c | 10,201$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…697abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff6…90a3backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b5…a19dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 1c | 8,801$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5953…734dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 3c | 7,413$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…6b28backed Yes | 1c | 7,325$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -85%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8518…0a0cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,317$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee5…168cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,959$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6538…ae3dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,706$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03b5…4f21backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…beb6backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…abbbbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…3a0cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,850$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…f328backed Yes | 1c | 5,815$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…4943backed Yes | 1c | 5,556$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…49a0backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…02d3backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4833…77d2backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…404ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…079bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,408$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…9dfebacked Yes | 1c | 5,057$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cb…3d77backed Yes | 0c | 5,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…32f3backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3a…116cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…3ebcbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2083…2e65backed Yes | 0c | 4,840$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…3129backed Yes | 0c | 4,832$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…ac7cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,561$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0651…5007backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Yes | 2c | 4,385$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5671…fd93backed Yes | 0c | 4,145$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…7620backed Yes | 0c | 4,123$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…61bcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,111$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…b8b4backed Yes | 0c | 3,975$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,917$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.