NFL · resolved market
Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x339ea91e747d04777adfb737a264debeddd1b90f527abe02ce2cbee395455169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,154,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,659,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,154,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 727,764$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.54 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaba…8e59backed Yes | 1c | 314,081$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,589.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…3f9ebacked Yes | 0c | 234,590$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…ad6cbacked Yes | 0c | 223,344$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…99e7backed Yes | 0c | 132,869$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6301…3074backed Yes | 0c | 119,983$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Yes | 2c | 110,000$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 3c | 109,120$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.41 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…8803backed Yes | 5c | 94,522$4,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,962.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…3ec8backed Yes | 5c | 87,874$4,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,655.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 3c | 83,509$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.27 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 0c | 83,396$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.15 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 4c | 81,888$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.65 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e4…68c7backed Yes | 5c | 80,184$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 0c | 66,674$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.78 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 1c | 64,280$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.48 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 0c | 59,207$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.67 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 3c | 58,311$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.38 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 57,165$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.05 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Yes | 5c | 56,105$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,058 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…b3fabacked Yes | 5c | 53,382$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…c489backed Yes | 1c | 52,276$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 45,961$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.69 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 1c | 45,326$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.33 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 2c | 42,857$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.74 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 1c | 42,437$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.49 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 40,414$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf912…bba6backed Yes | 1c | 40,400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…2c30backed Yes | 1c | 40,226$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.98 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 0c | 39,955$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.82 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d73…39a6backed Yes | 1c | 37,720$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd707…2121backed Yes | 2c | 37,128$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.71 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 0c | 36,302$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.21 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 0c | 36,000$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6920…9d9bbacked Yes | 5c | 33,998$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc3…2f17backed Yes | 1c | 29,677$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 3c | 29,580$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.66 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 29,349$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.86 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…fae0backed Yes | 1c | 27,260$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 5c | 27,121$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.56 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064d…a0e4backed Yes | 2c | 25,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 0c | 24,838$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -70%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 1c | 24,297$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 1c | 23,417$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…20d5backed Yes | 5c | 22,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc009…fe0cbacked Yes | 5c | 22,222$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd062…5d4dbacked Yes | 5c | 22,222$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…39b7backed Yes | 1c | 22,105$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.52 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…c5d9backed Yes | 1c | 20,643$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6208…edc0backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22f…b8fcbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…5dd2backed Yes | 1c | 19,980$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…e3bdbacked Yes | 1c | 17,999$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…84acbacked Yes | 5c | 17,259$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.55 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…a6b8backed Yes | 1c | 17,000$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,950$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…39b9backed Yes | 5c | 15,873$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.93 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…6e16backed Yes | 1c | 15,842$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 14,596$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 4c | 14,145$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.45 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes | 2c | 14,127$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.54 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…5d94backed Yes | 1c | 13,109$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.9 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…cc8fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,994$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…84e8backed Yes | 6c | 12,296$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…d8d5backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 11,761$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Yes | 1c | 11,575$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 2c | 11,574$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Yes | 0c | 11,211$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ff…0562backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x401c…75c9backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706a…f390backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…e52bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,734$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…5830backed Yes | 1c | 9,461$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 9,193$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.72 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…ac49backed Yes | 1c | 9,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…cd51backed Yes | 3c | 9,081$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.59 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f67…1962backed Yes | 6c | 9,000$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…307bbacked Yes | 6c | 8,989$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…22ffbacked Yes | 6c | 8,346$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 5c | 8,272$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.61 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 3c | 8,122$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.99 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…74a4backed Yes | 0c | 8,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe854…aa44backed Yes | 3c | 7,669$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.74 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1754…f6c2backed Yes | 3c | 7,506$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…a9d8backed Yes | 2c | 7,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…010fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8518…0a0cbacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 4c | 7,434$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.75 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…65adbacked Yes | 6c | 7,375$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…ebffbacked Yes | 1c | 7,238$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…a4fabacked Yes | 0c | 7,052$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…1ecebacked Yes | 1c | 6,600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…9c0dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…bca2backed Yes | 1c | 6,600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc79…b9bcbacked Yes | 1c | 6,580$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6715backed Yes | 1c | 6,560$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…36d1backed Yes | 1c | 6,540$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.