NFL · resolved market
Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x446e2d8e2ffbe7db85cd2239892df5447e73325b3552d07d5d6901b2eff95a59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,879,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,977,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,879,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 2c | 380,691$6,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,346.48 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc1…6fe7backed Yes | 2c | 301,174$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.96 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 2c | 209,301$4,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,797.99 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes | 2c | 206,285$4,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,927.38 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 2c | 194,453$3,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,817.34 | 101 | 4%4 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 2c | 112,396$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.04 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 2c | 77,728$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.81 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 2c | 74,603$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.3 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 2c | 70,112$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.25 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 2c | 61,535$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.33 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 2c | 59,860$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.2 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 2c | 59,465$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.1 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…0d3bbacked Yes | 4c | 55,661$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 2c | 54,739$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.64 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…fe1cbacked Yes | 2c | 51,179$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…44e6backed Yes | 2c | 47,704$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 1c | 43,821$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.17 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 2c | 40,909$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.16 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…b385backed Yes | 2c | 40,584$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 2c | 35,674$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.58 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc07…5e08backed Yes | 3c | 31,533$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 31,331$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.79 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 4c | 30,025$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.6 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…cd51backed Yes | 2c | 28,311$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.41 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes | 2c | 28,260$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.19 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Yes | 2c | 26,492$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.68 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Yes | 2c | 26,479$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…0bfcbacked Yes | 2c | 25,293$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf0…1179backed Yes | 3c | 21,898$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.79 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…0d1ebacked Yes | 2c | 21,474$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…f05bbacked Yes | 2c | 21,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…a6e5backed Yes | 2c | 21,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…ce35backed Yes | 2c | 21,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…080dbacked Yes | 2c | 21,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41e…9fccbacked Yes | 2c | 21,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 2c | 20,930$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.41 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 2c | 20,816$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.65 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44de…9be9backed Yes | 2c | 19,474$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 2c | 18,646$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…1063backed Yes | 3c | 18,582$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…9370backed Yes | 2c | 18,313$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…68ddbacked Yes | 2c | 17,558$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2178backed Yes | 2c | 16,776$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…399bbacked Yes | 2c | 15,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 2c | 13,514$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.07 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…630cbacked Yes | 2c | 13,185$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 2c | 12,999$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.19 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 2c | 12,393$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.16 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 2c | 12,194$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.85 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd51…3258backed Yes | 3c | 11,765$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…1b7bbacked Yes | 2c | 11,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…b451backed Yes | 2c | 10,077$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa437…274ebacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e82…0569backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f30…dbc3backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…d8fbbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176d…4a26backed Yes | 3c | 9,900$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Yes | 2c | 9,500$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f7…00e6backed Yes | 2c | 9,143$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,121$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…7f6ebacked Yes | 2c | 9,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 2c | 8,900$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.59 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3a4cbacked Yes | 2c | 8,685$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed3c…00cfbacked Yes | 3c | 8,360$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…3714backed Yes | 3c | 8,300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d0…47f1backed Yes | 3c | 8,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed Yes | 1c | 7,789$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 7,738$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…c874backed Yes | 2c | 7,688$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 2c | 7,500$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Yes | 2c | 7,500$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes | 3c | 7,439$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 2c | 7,400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 2c | 7,398$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.74 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc3…2f17backed Yes | 2c | 7,281$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…cc27backed Yes | 3c | 7,237$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f1…0e9fbacked Yes | 2c | 7,203$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…5286backed Yes | 2c | 7,195$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,067$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…9fd3backed Yes | 2c | 7,000$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa2…30bebacked Yes | 2c | 6,975$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…df2fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,858$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…b894backed Yes | 2c | 6,702$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…4006backed Yes | 2c | 6,697$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…db5abacked Yes | 2c | 6,627$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…2042backed Yes | 2c | 6,574$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…7034backed Yes | 2c | 6,566$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…a6f3backed Yes | 2c | 6,509$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e7…a20abacked Yes | 2c | 6,304$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d31…a7eebacked Yes | 2c | 6,184$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…891abacked Yes | 2c | 6,159$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Yes | 2c | 6,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…d5d1backed Yes | 3c | 5,924$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…f59cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,863$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda38…0186backed Yes | 3c | 5,863$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd298…42aebacked Yes | 3c | 5,748$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…53bebacked Yes | 2c | 5,700$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?this page
- Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bears win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Cowboys win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?Yes won
- Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Saints win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?No won
- Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.