NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaffae7e0f1681785cab1942d8b02a3ca7b91d0ea7a20382f2950a763db0760e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Rockets | 30c | 9,738$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,848.82 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 71c | 5,536$3,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,937.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hawks | 17c | 5,231$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.12 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hawks | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Rockets | 29c | 4,960$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.31 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Rockets | 27c | 4,851$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawks | 19c | 4,509$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.96 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hawks | 72c | 4,266$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.91 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Rockets | 32c | 3,750$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Hawks | 72c | 3,722$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.33 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rockets | 30c | 3,686$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.2 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Rockets | 33c | 3,360$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.76 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Hawks | 68c | 3,134$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawks | 48c | 2,578$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.17 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hawks | 71c | 2,363$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.11 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets | 27c | 2,050$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Hawks | 73c | 1,920$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.59 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Rockets | 33c | 1,795$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.68 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hawks | 71c | 1,742$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.81 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Hawks | 71c | 1,616$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Rockets | 28c | 1,400$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.91 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockets | 27c | 1,365$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.09 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Hawks | 51c | 1,349$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.83 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 71c | 1,339$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Rockets | 30c | 1,308$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.51 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 48c | 1,212$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.23 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…61b1backed Rockets | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Hawks | 72c | 1,149$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.77 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…8c39backed Rockets | 28c | 1,074$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Rockets | 25c | 1,058$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.25 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…a469backed Rockets | 79c | 1,055$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks | 49c | 1,035$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.16 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Hawks | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Hawks | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets | 66c | 851.71$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.92 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hawks | 75c | 803$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.25 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hawks | 1c | 787.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…66f2backed Rockets | 70c | 709.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.32 | 137 | 66.4%91 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…fc97backed Hawks | 45c | 700$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hawks | 46c | 694.23$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.8 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Rockets | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…6d0cbacked Hawks | 74c | 634.62$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rockets | 35c | 632.44$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.73 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks | 56c | 604.22$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.66 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rockets | 24c | 596.79$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.56 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hawks | 23c | 557$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hawks | 2c | 550$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 49c | 516.21$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…fdd9backed Hawks | 42c | 453.24$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…f400backed Rockets | 27c | 409.81$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.84 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Hawks | 74c | 409.45$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.01 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…8e75backed Hawks | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Rockets | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Hawks | 71c | 393.67$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.03 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Rockets | 26c | 384.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.89 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 58c | 368.7$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Rockets | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Rockets | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…2723backed Rockets | 32c | 337.91$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.78 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Rockets | 28c | 303.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.57 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Hawks | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…5fb0backed Hawks | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Hawks | 65c | 277.59$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.08 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…4a9fbacked Rockets | 31c | 277.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Hawks | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Rockets | 28c | 264.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.11 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Rockets | 37c | 251.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Rockets | 51c | 234.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.51 | 141 | 41.1%58 W · 83 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Hawks | 35c | 231.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 355 | 32.4%115 W · 240 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Rockets | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Rockets | 27c | 225.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.92 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks | 67c | 206.8$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…700bbacked Hawks | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…fb32backed Rockets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked Hawks | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Rockets | 64c | 181.96$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…5823backed Rockets | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Hawks | 31c | 177$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Hawks | 68c | 172.92$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.16 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Hawks | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Rockets | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Hawks | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…2bb3backed Hawks | 74c | 140$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…01d9backed Rockets | 26c | 140$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Hawks | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…5787backed Rockets | 31c | 133$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Hawks | 12c | 124.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rockets | 26c | 121.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Hawks | 73c | 118$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Rockets | 37c | 117.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Rockets | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560d…5a27backed Rockets | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Rockets | 29c | 100.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Hawks | 74c | 100.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Rockets | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Hawks | 31c | 97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Hawks | 52c | 94.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…3cf6backed Rockets | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…826abacked Rockets | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Hawksthis page
- Spread: Hawks (-6.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Hawks (-7.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.