NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3086e66589e69925916161842ea23abd695d66f2d58ac4dce3901a81d33a8541
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Thunder, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 734 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mavericks | 54c | 20,246$10,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,307.14 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 13c | 16,079$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.46 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Thunder | 0c | 13,532$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Thunder | 39c | 10,177$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,985.18 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab0…2b4abacked Thunder | 19c | 8,393$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 54c | 8,340$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.62 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Mavericks | 64c | 7,863$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.93 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4428…aa82backed Thunder | 1c | 5,959$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Thunder | 46c | 5,255$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.92 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Thunder | 9c | 4,977$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Thunder | 45c | 4,725$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.73 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Thunder | 1c | 4,473$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 46c | 4,213$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…f6a9backed Thunder | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a5…f70bbacked Mavericks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…45b0backed Thunder | 35c | 3,567$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Thunder | 0c | 3,324$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Mavericks | 62c | 3,212$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.47 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Thunder | 48c | 3,158$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.35 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Mavericks | 58c | 3,154$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.8 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Mavericks | 65c | 3,093$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.55 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e5f8backed Mavericks | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf441…dde5backed Thunder | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Thunder | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Thunder | 35c | 2,780$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 38c | 2,651$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mavericks | 54c | 2,578$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.86 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Thunder | 46c | 2,186$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Thunder | 2c | 2,100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…31f0backed Mavericks | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ec…6b89backed Thunder | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Thunder | 35c | 1,977$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Thunder | 17c | 1,976$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Mavericks | 67c | 1,940$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.3 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,809$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.84 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Thunder | 44c | 1,802$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Thunder | 18c | 1,507$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.36 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mavericks | 54c | 1,502$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.72 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Thunder | 2c | 1,407$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Thunder | 37c | 1,318$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.94 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…7829backed Mavericks | 79c | 1,286$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.02 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Mavericks | 64c | 1,278$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.1 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +48%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Thunder | 33c | 1,207$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Thunder | 13c | 1,205$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Thunder | 46c | 1,190$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.7 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Thunder | 35c | 1,090$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.5 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Thunder | 40c | 1,000$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Thunder | 9c | 999.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Mavericks | 50c | 980.76$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.38 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa216…179bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 896.95$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.95 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Mavericks | 59c | 845.76$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.76 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Thunder | 46c | 829.71$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.83 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Mavericks | 63c | 712.71$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.94 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Thunder | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Thunder | 42c | 600$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Thunder | 42c | 596.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mavericks | 55c | 590.21$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.59 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Thunder | 45c | 527.57$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.2 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Thunder | 36c | 499.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Thunder | 46c | 482.46$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.93 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Thunder | 38c | 446.03$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +33.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed Thunder | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Thunder | 12c | 333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e577backed Mavericks | 63c | 319.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Thunder | 37c | 302.96$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372b…cbf5backed Thunder | 10c | 299.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks | 68c | 299.86$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Thunder | 17c | 293.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Thunder | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Thunder | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…3139backed Thunder | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…097bbacked Thunder | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Thunder | 27c | 237.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Thunder | 39c | 230$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Thunder | 43c | 223.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0622backed Thunder | 11c | 209.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Thunder | 10c | 203.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 12c | 201.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894b…e927backed Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Thunder | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Thunder | 12c | 178$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…4979backed Thunder | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…5bddbacked Mavericks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Thunder | 25c | 174.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Mavericks | 63c | 166.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Thunder | 20c | 158.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Mavericks | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4f…86b3backed Thunder | 46c | 154.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks | 48c | 152.58$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Mavericks | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 280 | 63.6%178 W · 102 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x190e…c21cbacked Mavericks | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mavericks | 67c | 132$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Thunder | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Thunder | 48c | 128.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7b…dd7bbacked Thunder | 49c | 128.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Thunder | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Thunder | 47c | 124.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab6…92d0backed Mavericks | 52c | 122.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Mavericks | 61c | 115.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf8…93c3backed Mavericks | 52c | 115.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Mavericksthis page
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.