TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd2b2…d101backed Raptors69c11,134$7,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,418.0116251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2a42backed Raptors49c10,478$5,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,301.559851%50 W · 48 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Kings13c7,453$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.8411452.6%60 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Kings53c7,397$3,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,908.122142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Kings51c5,751$2,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,932.9944459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Kings1c4,626$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.83345.5%15 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+3.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Kings25c3,640$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.7447448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Kings53c3,336$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.9717546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Kings1c3,273$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.841,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Raptors50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5004544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings0c2,460$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.767211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings16c2,134$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.921,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30d1…fc97backed Kings31c1,966$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.534440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Raptors50c1,641$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.33250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Kings4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Raptors47c1,448$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.4795049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings51c1,230$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Kings50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Kings5c842.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.522429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Kings50c832$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.9292753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Kings50c828$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41447751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings22c702.61$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.991,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddfe…c5a6backed Kings36c678.93$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Kings51c613.22$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.542,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Kings45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings52c599$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.481,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f5…a33fbacked Kings20c516.9$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.383732.4%12 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Raptors68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16011755.6%65 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings53c469$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5269852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Raptors47c448.94$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.944344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Kings51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Kings18c400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722010%2 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-48.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Kings50c375$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2745…17b3backed Kings52c332.98$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.151369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe341…2e5ebacked Kings51c320.82$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6006…cae5backed Kings47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Kings20c295.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1120756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Kings50c293.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14785347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6c…42b2backed Kings53c257.75$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.619154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Raptors60c224$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2259743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…5862backed Kings53c213.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Raptors48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3339051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11cd…c12bbacked Raptors48c206.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.231163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed Kings17c204.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.772263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Kings7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1467911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kings51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.991,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Raptors50c196.83$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4134942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeeb…645fbacked Kings51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x485d…5907backed Raptors47c183$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9914851.4%76 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c1b…7d60backed Kings53c183$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9914144.7%63 W · 78 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x166a…5ba5backed Kings20c181.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.262941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors45c177.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.873,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Raptors48c170.35$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0373647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8f…e91cbacked Kings33c158.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.32742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick28cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a03…47c1backed Kings45c155.01$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Raptors66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Raptors48c135.42$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4266046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…a5b1backed Raptors49c120.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb87…5a19backed Kings11c118.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652931%9 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Raptors51c117.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.653053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b59…eccdbacked Kings52c113.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf7b…dd7bbacked Kings53c112.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.88560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfffc…bc9ebacked Raptors49c111.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Kings53c108.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.76552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Raptors47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5380146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Raptors47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5328838.2%110 W · 178 L-18.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Kings40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Raptors47c99.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9960834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Kings52c94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.881,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2361…e16ebacked Raptors47c89.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.691866.7%12 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Kings50c85.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.756851.5%35 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed Kings36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011450.9%58 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Raptors49c81.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6610654.7%58 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c7…7203backed Kings29c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.55117.6%9 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Kings53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5a…5787backed Kings53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Raptors51c74.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5940035.5%142 W · 258 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Raptors67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6320349.3%100 W · 103 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3bb…e7a1backed Kings57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick66cpaid-42.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Raptors48c68.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6126749.8%133 W · 134 L+17.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Raptors52c65.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3815351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc66…0dcdbacked Kings53c64.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.041050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d3…127cbacked Raptors48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.513751.8%71 W · 66 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2490…303dbacked Kings53c62.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aed…2ef3backed Kings32c62.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x462d…8b1abacked Kings53c59.72$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.381050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10af…bb7dbacked Raptors49c58.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Kings52c54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0894951.3%487 W · 462 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd4a…4e5ebacked Kings38c51.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Raptors49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0256352%293 W · 270 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Raptors48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc13f…c93bbacked Raptors46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2763445.1%286 W · 348 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Kings51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.537357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6dc…8c92backed Kings20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kings50c49.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7530249.3%149 W · 153 L+33.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xed89…647bbacked Raptors48c47.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.953040%12 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…1bb4backed Raptors48c43.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.751241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.