Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Katerina Siniakova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a9caaba9761481783cc7e0e492fa09908c2da2632b2011fec1a869d374f53b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siniakovaof Joint, Siniakova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Joint | 32c | 9,999$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,226.94 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Siniakova | 69c | 9,939$6,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.26 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Joint | 37c | 2,357$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.72 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Siniakova | 50c | 735$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Siniakova | 63c | 731.72$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.52 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Siniakova | 64c | 693.81$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Siniakova | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Joint | 46c | 505.41$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.49 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Joint | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Siniakova | 51c | 327.41$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.43 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Siniakova | 55c | 280$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Siniakova | 50c | 275.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…0684backed Joint | 51c | 269.37$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Siniakova | 59c | 260.28$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Joint | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Joint | 57c | 176.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Joint | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Joint | 44c | 136$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Joint | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Joint | 46c | 107.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Joint | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Siniakova | 49c | 96.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Siniakova | 49c | 78.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Joint | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Siniakova | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…5787backed Joint | 51c | 46.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Siniakova | 49c | 39.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Joint | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Siniakova | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.