Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Clara Tauson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bb2e9c6b09f11232cac5330d1d79c713664cfadd044fdbea77c92e5b8a9692c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paoliniof Paolini, Tauson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Paolini | 43c | 8,454$3,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,806.81 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Tauson | 56c | 6,362$3,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.3 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Tauson | 52c | 3,828$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tauson | 5c | 3,200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Tauson | 67c | 1,940$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.71 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Tauson | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Paolini | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Paolini | 50c | 1,249$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.41 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tauson | 36c | 1,134$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.91 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Paolini | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Paolini | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tauson | 12c | 803.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Tauson | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6eb…3fcdbacked Paolini | 27c | 735.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Tauson | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Paolini | 54c | 467.27$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.95 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…4c0abacked Tauson | 6c | 450$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tauson | 36c | 433.29$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.32 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tauson | 50c | 390.51$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tauson | 6c | 378$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Tauson | 54c | 375$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.15 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Tauson | 55c | 360$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Tauson | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Tauson | 12c | 251.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Paolini | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Paolini | 30c | 180$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…5787backed Paolini | 41c | 173.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Paolini | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Tauson | 46c | 139.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Paolini | 50c | 137.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Paolini | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Tauson | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…8166backed Paolini | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Paolini | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Tauson | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Paolini | 36c | 60.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Paolini | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Tauson | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cba…b0e4backed Paolini | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Tauson | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Paolini | 69c | 24.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.