Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Laura Siegemund
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78d195e8319502e18aaca63c89b19a8e8507e383fa259ec685af8e0711578379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siegemundof Andreeva, Siegemund
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Andreeva | 61c | 7,048$4,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.5 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Siegemund | 20c | 6,035$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,827.47 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Andreeva | 66c | 5,884$3,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895.77 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Siegemund | 33c | 4,287$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.42 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Siegemund | 73c | 4,223$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.1 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Siegemund | 44c | 3,500$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Andreeva | 51c | 3,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Andreeva | 49c | 2,598$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.84 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Siegemund | 10c | 2,136$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.35 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Siegemund | 48c | 1,910$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.4 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Siegemund | 18c | 1,622$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.47 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Siegemund | 15c | 1,300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Siegemund | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Siegemund | 31c | 1,141$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.52 | 674 | 31.5%212 W · 462 L | -14.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Siegemund | 38c | 1,060$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.94 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Andreeva | 54c | 931.89$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…4c0abacked Siegemund | 17c | 897$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Andreeva | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Siegemund | 48c | 785$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.8 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andreeva | 65c | 705.92$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.32 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Andreeva | 61c | 659.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Siegemund | 16c | 499.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edc…2d23backed Andreeva | 47c | 499.65$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Siegemund | 24c | 356.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.48 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…1c65backed Andreeva | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Andreeva | 66c | 289.82$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.14 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Siegemund | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Siegemund | 16c | 184$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.97 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9239…9584backed Siegemund | 19c | 152.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Andreeva | 28c | 144.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…5787backed Siegemund | 22c | 132.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Siegemund | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Andreeva | 63c | 113.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Siegemund | 18c | 111$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…6a3bbacked Siegemund | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Siegemund | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Siegemund | 76c | 70.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Siegemund | 29c | 65.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…f468backed Siegemund | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…d799backed Andreeva | 56c | 44.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5ec6backed Andreeva | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Siegemund | 48c | 29.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.