Token Launches · resolved market
Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49c37a3e63fbd8e3d6ab9f0a137480b0e9b30a48a5da12218c96fcd58cda2dca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…9d2cbacked No | 27c | 3,421$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 31c | 3,250$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.51 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…ab14backed Yes | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…a90cbacked No | 24c | 1,289$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 16c | 1,182$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.14 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…7275backed Yes | 27c | 1,112$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked Yes | 4c | 1,100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…67d5backed Yes | 69c | 1,099$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…5375backed Yes | 69c | 1,066$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…859dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,050$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…ea73backed Yes | 69c | 1,022$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed No | 25c | 866.15$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.61 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +260.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked No | 70c | 822$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…1aeebacked Yes | 70c | 800.97$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4833…1b65backed Yes | 69c | 784.39$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…0906backed No | 37c | 736.16$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.41 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +12.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 28c | 700$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed No | 22c | 668.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.96 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76db…6987backed Yes | 73c | 535.99$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed No | 27c | 508.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…47edbacked Yes | 26c | 492.55$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…ef01backed No | 31c | 492.55$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad37…dd45backed No | 74c | 492.55$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a3dcbacked Yes | 79c | 484.79$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…2e55backed Yes | 75c | 409.7$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 9c | 402.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…497fbacked No | 22c | 400$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…b912backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…e487backed Yes | 58c | 394.09$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 259$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…5138backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…0088backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +204.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…a26ebacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 34c | 199.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…3543backed No | 55c | 194.35$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 77c | 190.39$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.46 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed No | 22c | 177.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.42 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Yes | 70c | 170$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 20c | 167.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaafe…4180backed No | 22c | 165.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 12c | 151.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 111 | 7.2%8 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcae3…288bbacked No | 34c | 149.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…4f07backed No | 14c | 138.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…d819backed Yes | 24c | 123.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 17c | 110.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…bf5abacked Yes | 76c | 105.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad4…1704backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…ed56backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked No | 27c | 86.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 22c | 84.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 77.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34c…6311backed Yes | 80c | 73.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…dd2bbacked No | 24c | 62.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…5ff5backed No | 18c | 56.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 54c | 50.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 33c | 32.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed No | 48c | 32.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 63c | 29.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…c715backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?this page
- Over $10M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $15M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $17.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $1M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $22.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $250k committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $27.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $2M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?No won
- Over $37.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $500k committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the RipCars public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the RipCars public sale?No won
- Over $6M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the RipCars public sale?No won
- Over $750k committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $7M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $8M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
- Over $9M committed to the RipCars public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.