Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ddc0e7de1634d1204dda3bef66ffe18b0d52d8605c0a363755480de0dc81d41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,585,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,275,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,585,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 662 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c72…8e19backed No | 1c | 133,331$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda38…7beabacked No | 0c | 111,000$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce41…fa02backed Yes | 18c | 110,547$19,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,940.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…12f8backed No | 1c | 106,934$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…ef4ebacked No | 2c | 61,406$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 33c | 61,191$20,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,494.84 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked No | 0c | 56,667$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afd…7e8dbacked Yes | 29c | 54,984$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,984.34 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…ac10backed Yes | 35c | 53,043$18,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,651.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +168%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…1b36backed No | 60c | 41,049$24,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,549.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 31c | 37,644$11,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,926.19 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 69c | 34,769$23,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,940.35 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 30c | 32,937$9,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,130.35 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…85c0backed Yes | 36c | 32,687$11,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,855.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc83…09a1backed No | 0c | 31,184$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…4231backed Yes | 33c | 29,568$9,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,664.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 0c | 28,784$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked No | 0c | 28,318$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked No | 7c | 24,895$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 0c | 23,300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed No | 1c | 23,086$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.77 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 3c | 22,019$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.98 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbd…fb37backed Yes | 17c | 22,000$3,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,189.95 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf37a…2171backed No | 2c | 21,842$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6f…c91ebacked No | 0c | 21,483$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…bb63backed No | 68c | 19,940$13,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,580.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed No | 6c | 19,610$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 52c | 19,167$9,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,242.55 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…6e04backed No | 1c | 17,784$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 77c | 17,612$13,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,586.28 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked No | 80c | 17,502$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 1c | 17,011$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3f…9f0ebacked No | 1c | 16,479$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…e29cbacked No | 76c | 15,360$11,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,626.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 24c | 15,236$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,566.37 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…005dbacked No | 2c | 15,204$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.17 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…6634backed Yes | 36c | 14,500$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,350 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…5517backed No | 2c | 14,015$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 49c | 13,340$6,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,818.08 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…2f2fbacked No | 76c | 13,180$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…b691backed Yes | 23c | 13,102$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,102.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +278.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf922…bf5bbacked No | 1c | 12,649$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 55c | 12,053$6,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.76 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…13d9backed No | 2c | 11,931$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 27c | 11,786$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,547.81 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c7…3ff0backed Yes | 24c | 11,737$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,899.92 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…560abacked No | 30c | 11,660$3,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 46c | 11,350$5,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,193.5 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90a…ad32backed No | 2c | 11,110$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked No | 54c | 11,104$5,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,978.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed Yes | 25c | 10,798$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,117.65 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…01c0backed Yes | 22c | 10,575$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,236.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +352.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 1c | 10,556$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 60 | 0%0 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 22c | 10,311$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,042.89 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed1…fcfdbacked Yes | 37c | 10,295$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,456.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…de87backed No | 2c | 10,287$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…e104backed No | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…28e5backed Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…bd4ebacked No | 1c | 10,000$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…87e1backed No | 1c | 9,870$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…951abacked Yes | 22c | 9,449$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,384.44 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08d…ba3bbacked No | 1c | 9,365$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 75c | 9,222$6,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,917.58 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 51c | 9,000$4,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 74c | 8,793$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…0367backed No | 1c | 8,786$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 52c | 8,501$4,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.91 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…bdf7backed No | 1c | 8,270$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dd…cd8bbacked No | 1c | 8,106$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 8,000$6,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,305.98 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…fa02backed No | 1c | 7,923$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 20c | 7,885$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,302.93 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb09e…1e5abacked No | 3c | 7,699$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 41c | 7,473$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.72 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 21c | 7,426$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,852.39 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 22c | 7,412$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,781.02 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked No | 79c | 7,114$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked Yes | 19c | 7,049$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,680.27 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…c13fbacked No | 2c | 7,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b4…b01dbacked No | 2c | 6,921$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 34c | 6,867$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,553.03 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked No | 5c | 6,622$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 57c | 6,371$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.29 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82d4…1f3fbacked No | 1c | 6,364$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…e944backed No | 79c | 6,329$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 74c | 6,217$4,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,615.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 78c | 6,000$4,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,696 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 80c | 5,985$4,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.66 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…3913backed Yes | 54c | 5,559$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.19 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 11c | 5,330$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.89 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…2eaabacked No | 67c | 5,223$3,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa711…eae7backed No | 2c | 5,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 77c | 4,982$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.45per pick | 55cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 71c | 4,761$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,362.05 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5010…75dfbacked Yes | 22c | 4,759$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,711.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…4073backed Yes | 18c | 4,752$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,876.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 41c | 4,728$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +236.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 77c | 4,721$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.78 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -7.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.